Saturday, March 15, 2008

Day Trading - Want to Try it? Then Say Goodbye to Your Equity

Day trading is popular with huge numbers of novice traders yet you are guaranteed to lose in the longer term, as the logic it is based upon is simply not true and can never work...

Let's look at the two reasons why if you day trade you will lose. Before we get started on the reasons why day trading is a guaranteed route to losses lets look at why you see track records with huge profits on many day forex day trading systems.

Here is the reason they all carry a disclaimer like the one below which means they have NEVER been traded:

"CFTC RULE 4.41 - Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown".

So you can make anything up you like and the track record is not worth the paper it's written on.

What's the point in having a track record if it isn't real and also you would think that the person selling the system would actually show confidence and trade it! The reason they don't is most are sold by marketing companies looking to dupe nave and greedy investors. Try and find a forex day trader with a real time track record and let me know if you find one you won't

So why doesn't day trading work?

The reason is obvious all volatility in short time frames is of a random nature and all support and resistance levels are not valid.

You cannot get the odds in your favor when day trading and if you can't get the odds in your favor you will lose - Period. You simply can't judge in such a short time span what prices will do. You have millions of people all with different motivations and personalities and to say you can measure what this vast diverse group will do in under a day is simply destined to failure.

So the next time you see that tempting day trading track record check the small profit, as chances are its never been traded. Then think about the above and you will see that day trading is a total mugs game.

Marcus Leary's Forex Auto Pilot - Scam Or Does It Work

Forex Auto Pilot created by Marcus Leary is one of the most renowned and popular forex trading softwares on the market today. It has been used by thousands of people who wished to become better forex traders. But is the forex auto pilot a scam or does it really work?

As with any other software or product on the market, this software doesn't have a 100% success rate. But forex autopilot isn't a scam. It has worked for many people who have taken their trading skills and income to another level. And it will likely work for you as well, if you treat it the way it's supposed to be treated: a software which can help you make better decisions, not some magical artifact which will instantaneously give you a million dollars.

What I mean by that is that there 2 mistakes you can make with Forex Autopilot which may hinder your income with it:

  1. Use it without knowing how - Forex autopilot is a tool you can use, but you need to know how. The software comes with detailed instructions. Make sure to study them. Even if this means you'll start using it a week later than you wish, it's worth the time.
  2. Don't fail to get a regular forex education. This software can work for you even if you have little or no prior experience, but if you do become more informed about the market and how it works, you will have a much better chance of making more money with ForexAutopilot.


Marcus Leary didn't create a scam software and it's easy to see this since his software comes with a money back guarantee. So make the most of this software and make sure to give some of the money you'll earn with it back to the community. That way you'll make something good with the money for a lot more people and still have enough to enjoy yourself.

Forex Autopilot Robot Review - Will It Do All The Trading For You?

I am sure that if you are a Forex trader you have already heard of Forex Autopilot robot.
If not, this is the software by Marcus Leary that is said to be the greatest breakthrough in
Forex business.

I first heard of this robot from my friend Jack who is a professional trader as well. He told me that I had to check it out because it was supposed to be really good.

I tested different kinds of Forex software in the past and I am always open to try new ideas and tools.

So, I went to Forex Autopilot website to read the sales letter and I was amazed with what I was reading.
Marcus Leary was promising a lot and I started wondering if it was really possible to create the robot like that one.

Trading Forex on autopilot?

I couldn't believe that.

It was just because of Jack who recommended it to me that I decided to purchase it. I trusted my friend and it was only $99 with 8 week money back guarantee so there was nothing to worry about.

I downloaded the robot to my PC 2 minutes after the purchase. I had to download a new meta trader as well because the old one wasn't compatible with Forex Autopilot.

I read the manual and FAQ and I installed robot on my PC.

I didn't want to lose any money so, I opened demo account something I hadn't done for years and I decided to start testing the software.

One thing I want you to be aware of is that Marcus Leary's robot is really complicated to use.
One will need advanced skills at Forex and computing because the manual provided was pretty poor.

My first two trades were bad ones and I lost 200 pips.

There are several digital advisers on the software main screen and I was not sure which one I should have used.
So I decided to check them all out the following day.

Finally after two days I started making profit and I moved to my real account.
Everything has been great since then and I will recommend Forex Autopilot robot to anyone who wants to make money on Forex.

It is not a scam.

Learn What It Takes To Learn Forex Trading And Get You Self Started

Forex Trading is learnable for the normal person that is interested in the subject of
forex. But you don't have to worry if you are not interested in the subject forex, but you
can see the opportunity in currency trading, it still also learnable. I only say this because
I find it easy to learn anything easier if you truly have an interest in the subject.

It just takes a little dedication with study, like any other skill and talents we as people
develop. What you do need in order to learn how to trade in the forex market is to
indulge ones self in all the free content they can get their hands on. When free
information doesn't cut it anymore or it's not enough, then purchasing a beginner's
course with tutorials will help you succeed in the learning process.

One thing you will be finding out as you go along is that learning and sticking to a forex
trading strategy or a flexible plan is essential to survive in the fx market. When starting
out, be sure to just stick to practicing with a demo trading platform. These platforms are
usually provided in the software that you will download when signing up with a forex
trading company. That is always the safest manor how everyone must start out until they
really have a feel for how the currency markets work.

You must be careful when starting to trade with real money, and try to keep your
emotions out of your trading game. It is not unheard of for a person to not succeed at
first and turn to finding a forex mentor. However, this is probably the most expensive
method, but if you think with a long-term mind set it could be a very wise investment.
Since there is a lot of money to be made with in this forex currency trading market
online.

Whatever way you decide how to learn to trade in the forex market, don't give up. There
are lots of resources from group forums, to blogs, to pdf ebooks that will give you the
information you need to be a skilled trader.

12-Steps to Good Trading - Step 3 - Ego, Risk-Tolerance and Confidence - The Psycho-Enchilada

This step in the 12-steps to good trading will be the most challenging and will take the longest for most people to overcome. It will require the most maintenance over the life of your trading career and it will also be nearly impossible to learn from a short article like this but hopefully I can get you on the right track and help identify some resources and exercises to help.

Ego is really a tough thing for me to write about. I don't fully understand it and apart from my Christian viewpoint it wouldn't make any sense at all to me. Ego is that part of you that you refer to when you say "I." Its part of your soul as opposed to your spirit. Both reside in your body. Its everything you think you are. Your self-concept. It says "I am hungry...I am a winner...I am a loser...I am a Californian...I am a Republican...I am nice...I am clever...I don't believe that...I believe that more than anything...blah blah blah.." It's the inner part of you that is most influenced by the outside world and I believe outside forces as well but I wont get into that unless you ask.

Ego is the part of you that has been shaped over the years or the last five minutes along with your concepts of who you are and how you see yourself in the future. It is the part of you that you display and defend and its also the part of you that keeps you from living in the very now moment.

In step one of this series I emphasized how there are no destructive trading emotions in the very now moment. In the now moment fear cant reside because it is based on images of the future and past. Greed cant reside there either. Well, the thing that blocks easy access to that place is the ego. It always wants center stage. In trading rooms and in sports and everywhere in performance based art, the ego stands out. In trading rooms it presents itself in bottom and top pickers and calling trades from the past and announcing one-sided results. Said plainly, it usually shows up as boasting. The trader who boasts not only doesn't likely think he or she has an ego issue, but they certainly don't recognize that they are led by it. The danger to them in these cases is that they are not market focused but are running their trading business from the part of the self that is most subject to the winds of the world and are linked arm and arm with the most destructive trading emotions they can face (fear, greed & denial). It effects everything from their risk tolerance to their confidence which are the other two pieces of this enchilada so I will move on and tie them together and help you develop a plan to make sure your ego is in check.

The number one issue I see people have when working with them on their trading is not accepting risk. Its normal for us to want to avoid risk and that shows up as the normal thing to do when we come to trade. The trouble is that being normal in trading is being a losing trader and washing out.

Never makes it in trading. We have to be abnormal and take risks. Calculated risks of course and that is where having a system or method comes into play but it goes beyond that. Lets just assume you will have a method of approaching the market that will put the odds in your favor and that you will work at it and know how to use it. We also have to have very clear and realistic concepts about what trading is and align our expectations with reality. It is not something you can realistically try and squeeze in to your summer vacation and learn in a few weeks so you don't have to go back to work. Some of you are saying "yeah, of course not. Who would think that." Well unfortunately, and also understandably so, as the marketing in the trading education space paints a really rosy picture and more people think that way than you could imagine. Plan on a long learning curve and doing a lot of hard work. Plan on training your focus on learning to trade and not on money or exotic calculations of what-ifs as far as how much you could earn in a year or whatever "normally" comes to your mind. Prepare to be abnormal. We don't think about money much outside the development of our trading plan. If you do think about money then as quick as you earn it in your head you had better give it away in your head or you will be the one giving it away instead of earning it in reality. Again we think abnormally.

Would you want to go to a heart surgeon and have him chopping into you and at the same time thinking about the boat you are buying him on his lake? Or would you rather him keep his now moment eyes on your aorta? For that matter, would you want that same doctor to have had a speedy summer Internet Heart Surgeon degree program or put his time in learning the hard way (at John's Hopkins no less). I know that's not realistic, or at least I sure hope not, but it's the same idea as someone thinking they can speed through the process of learning to trade. After all, the heart is pretty much going to be in the same place give or take a few inches for all of us but the market can and will change daily or even quicker (yes, it at least follows the same structure most of the time).

What does this have to do with risk-tolerance you ask? Well if you choose to trade I just want to make it clear you are taking a big risk. Most wont make it but if you really get these first few steps down and make building a better you a priority along side your chart studies then you have a great chance. Most wont do that though. You are risking the time and chances to do something else more normal and you have to know that.

Now here is the kicker. Most people wont or cant accept risk because they are under capitalized. They can too clearly see the end of the road. You can learn on as little as you want, but it will effect your thinking. Fear and greed will get all over your face or try to anyhow and your ego will get invaded with denial and if you don't take those early steps I have already covered and stay in the now it will be very, very, normal. If however you do train yourself to stay in the now then the capital wont matter as much. I suggest you have at least ten times your margin amount if you want to help quiet fear and greed and be able to accept the risk. Some people need a lot more than that. Whatever amount it would take where you can look at your per-trade maximum loss and think of it about the same as if you misplaced a dollar or bought a raffle ticket from some kid. This is important to understand so if you don't please start a dialogue with me via email so we can go over this more.

Moving on to confidence now, and really each of these could be their own series. I just want you to be introduced to them and make it known that you will have to contend with these things. At the end I will give you some practical ideas for dealing with some of them. Confidence in your trading is important. Both in your system and your ability to operate it. You need confidence that the odds are in your favor if you do what you are supposed to do so that you can accept the risk and put a trade on and let it play out without gripping that poor mouse until it has no life in it. You need this confidence because without it your fear will block you from doing your breathing and getting to the now moment. I hope you can see how these three topics tie together here.

How do we get that confidence? Lots and lots of work. It requires many hours of screen time and replays. Technology now makes it really easy to get the operational side of your system down when there is nothing at risk. That is good even though it doesn't train you much on the more challenging part of trading, which is controlling yourself when it really matters. But replays and simulation are great for just drilling into your head the steps you take when you trade. Its vital that those things are automatic when you do get into live trading. You need the confidence that comes from doing the exact same thing hundreds or thousands of times. This is the same concept that US Marine Corps or other armed forces go through when they drill or train. All of their training is done in conditions that largely not life threatening. I am not sure spy-rigging counts because that just looks downright crazy. But nobody is actually shooting at Marines in training with hostile intent or rather, capability. Those in charge of the training know this and don't belittle it as being "not-real." They make it as real as they can and that's what we need to do in when we simulate trading. When those Marines hit the ground in actual war zones they act automatically. Not because they know the actual beach or woods or desert or towns but because they know how to move together towards an objective as they have done countless times in training.

I grew up around people just like that and have seen the payoffs and that is why it is so important to me to train thoroughly in my trading and also important that you do the same. Confidence comes from that and from the translation of that training into real live success in the markets. Plan on being abnormal here as well. Most wont do this.

Ok, now to the battle. The best way to keep your ego in check is to keep quiet until you do have it in check. Its not about you. Concentrate on becoming a listener. The next time you are in a conversation with your wife or husband or whoever, try and just listen. If you are jumping out of you skin because you need to talk then this is an area of struggle for you. If you don't even catch it until later that you went on and on about " I, I, I, me, me, me" then it is a dominant area in your life that needs to be addressed before successful trading will occur. Part of what the ego does is express emotions in packages. If you focus on the breathing and self-awareness techniques of steps 1 & 2 you will get better at getting in the now moment. The thing that deflates the destructiveness of all emotions and the ego is identifying the emotion from the now moment and calling it by its name. So if you feel fear or you feel the ego rising in your own unique pattern then what you do is say it. Say "fear, I see you and you have no power over me." If you are Christian, and I pray that you are, then really let the emotions have it in the name of Jesus. When you operate in the now moment and identify your feelings like that it deflates them. In other words it keeps you in self-control and in the moment and not subject to them. This like anything is a learned skill and will require you to be a good listener to not only others but yourself and what is coming up from inside you. The great thing is that while it deflates negative emotions, staying in control and recognizing positive emotions perpetuates the benefits. Understand me clearly here. I am not talking about visualizing the outcomes of fearful things. I don't want you to mediate on the negative stuff. Just call it by its name and tell it to leave because it has no authority over you. If you make this a habit your life will change like you cant imagine.

Now as far as risk-tolerance goes, you have to raise capital and stay in the now moment along the way. The less money you have the less you can do. Trading something like FOREX at Oanda is probably the best option for you if you are starting with very limited funds because you can trade fractional pips and stay in the game on little for a long time while you learn, but at some point you will have to add capital. Do not set yourself up thinking you will trade your way from $1,000 to millions. If you don't treat your opponents and your business with the proper respect it just wont likely happen for you. You may have a good hobby and learn a lot and that may be great in itself, but until you treat your trading as a start-up business with real capital needs it wont likely prosper. I pray that some of you prove me wrong, and I have seen it done, but they were really abnormal. If you try and do the same I would be as abnormal as you can in the places you can afford to in order to compensate for the very normal idea of starting with nothing or close to it.

Lastly, for confidence, plan on working and building a life of balanced confidence and keeping confidence in check and based on real training. If you find yourself down the road trading and needing layers and layers of confirmation before you take a trade then you drifted away from confidence to some blend of being unconfident and being overconfident. Being unconfident in your system and over confident in your ability to handle it on your own. Needing excess confirmation is like a farmer who says he will plant corn seed just as soon as he sees some tassels. It just wont work that way. He has to plan his crop (develop a business plan), buy his seed (raise his capital), plant it (release some capital), and then let the earth do its thing in its due course so he can harvest (evaluate the results and learn from them). Try and blend some of your personal traits that are strong outside of trading with your trading. If you are a mother or father and somehow are very patient with our kids then have confidence that you can use those same abilities in the market if you stay in the now. If you think about it, that is exactly what you do with your kids if you are one of those people. They make a big mess or if older kids, wreck the car or whatever, and you take a deep breath and just release in an instant all those destructive emotions so that we don't kill them. The same thing we do when we prepare to trade.

Anyhow, I covered a lot. Probably too much for one article but a couple of you probably made it this far. If we end up working together or if we already are then chances are we are already deeper into some of these areas and techniques. We will get to some chart stuff in the next article. Spend the majority of your time in these first three steps though and pick my brain or do whatever it is you need to do to get yourself in a position where you can operate from self-control rather then being dragged through life. There is so much more to say on these mental topics and more so I will write more later. Thanks for listening.

God Bless ~

Ryan

How To Calculate Profits In A Forex Trade

Unlike the stock, futures, or options markets, calculating profits in the foreign exchange market can be a bit more complex. This is because you have to transfer profits from the foreign currency you purchased back into your home currency.

This concept is best understood through an example. So, let's say you have 10,000 US dollars, and let's say the EURUSD is trading at 1.5000. This means that 1 euro buys you 1.5000 US dollars -- or, conversely, one US dollar buys you 0.667 euros (1 / 1.5 = 0.666). So, with your 10,000 US dollars, you are able to buy about 6,666.66 euros.

Now, let's say the EURUSD exchange rate jumps up to 1.5500 -- meaning that one euro can now buy you 1.5500 US dollars. Since the euro rose in value since you made your purchase, you can now sell your euros for more dollars than you initially purchased them with. In other words, you made a profit!

To realize your profit, all you need to do is convert the 6,666.66 euros you now have back into US dollars. Since one euro now buys you 1.5500 US dollars, you can simply multiple your quantity of euros -- 6,670 -- by the exchange rate (1.5500). The result is 10,333.33. So there you have it -- a profit of 333.33 US dollars!

Profiting By Selling a Currency (aka "Going Short")

Slightly more involved are transactions in which you go short -- in other words, in which you believe the exchange rate is going to fall. In such a scenario, what you are actually doing is borrowing the currency you believe is going to fall in value. So, let's say you borrow the equivalent of 10,000 US dollars when the EURUSD is trading at 1.5000. This means you have borrowed about 6,666.66 euros, and have used those borrowed funds to purchase 10,000 US dollars.

Now, let's assume the exchange rate falls to 1.4500, and you decide you want to exit the trade. To do this, you simply want to exchange the 10,000 US dollars you purchased back into euros at the new exchange rate. At a rate of 1.4500, your 10,000 US dollars buys you 6,896.55 euros. You now have to repay the original 6,666.66 euros you borrowed, leaving you with 229.89 euros. You then want to convert this back into US dollars -- your home currency -- which, at an exchange rate of 1.4500, amounts to 333.33. This is your profit from the trade.

As you can see, foreign exchange trades can be a bit more complex than your typical stocks or futures trade -- but if you take it step by step, you'll see it's really just a few straightforward math equations.

Friday, March 14, 2008

What Should You Be Trading This March 2008?

Let's look at what we know so far...

The Down Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is down 7.5% for the year.

The Nasdaq is down 14%

The S&P 500, the top 500 stocks in the country, are down 9.4%.

Just to break even for the year, forget a profit, look at how far they must come back up.

March is generally a good trading month. Since 1945, stocks have shown gains in March 66% of the time. The average increase has been 1.05%, according to Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at S&P, Inc.
For March to ge a good trading month for you, you'll need to find a market niche that can give you better than average returns. The key is, which stock market sector(s) will give you such a return?

Look what happened the last week of February. The first 2 days were up. The rally was based on the viewpoint that the worst of the sub-prime credit crunch is over for financial institutions. Wednesday, the rally ran out of steam. Thursday and Friday brought back new worries about the financial sector, with UBS Bank announcing that the sub-prime credit crunch could go to $600 billion, not $400 billion as projected earlier.

And there are new worries...the U.S. Dollar continues to retreat and there is a steep rise in commodities, with Gold rapidly approaching $1000/ounce and crude oil prices jumping to $103 a barrel.

So which stock market sector(s) can give you a positive return?

The answer may surprise you...it is not a stock sector at all. You need to learn to trade the Futures Market.
The Futures Market is the only Market that has not been negatively affected by the sub-prime credit crunch. That is
because the Futures Market takes advantage of price movements, whether the price goes up or down. You need to learn to trade the S&P 500 E-Mini Future.

How are large institutions and hedge funds protecting themselves in this downturned market? They are trading S&P 500 Futures contracts. This way they do not have to invest in any single company. They can trade all 500 in one instrument.

Individual investors cannot trade the S&P 500 Future, so the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, the CME, created the S&P 500 E-mini Future contract. This is a mini version of the S&P 500 futures contract traded by large institutions. The S&P 500 E-Mini Future follows the larger S&P 500 the institutions trade. When the S&P 500 contract goes up, the E-Mini S&P 500 goes up as well.

In this downturned Market, the large institutions are able to capitalize by shorting. You can learn to short the S&P 500 E-Mini as well. An investor who sells S&P 500 E-mini futures "short", borrows contracts from his brokerage house and sells them to the exchange. He does this because he thinks the Market is going down. Eventually he will close out the position by buying back the contracts and returning them to the lender. Note: this is all done electronically. The investor does not telephone the broker to borrow the contracts. He just pushes a button on his trading platform. So long as the investor has an agreement in writing with his broker that he may short, he just needs to push a button.

Here's an example. You sell short 10 S&P 500 E-Mini contracts at $1350 a contract because you think the Market is coming down. The price of the S&P 500 E-Mini contracts goes to $1348, a $2 or 2 point reduction. For every point you earn $50 / contract. You shorted 10 contracts, so 10 X $50 X 2 points = $1000.

The E-mini S&P 500 Future contracts are an excellent potential for individual traders. The margins for trading the E-mini S&P 500 Future contract are generally $400-$500 per contract. For the 10 contracts, you would need $5000 in your futures account. Say you make 1/2 point / day, not 2 points, just 1/2 point, or $250. That is a 5% return on investment daily.

So if you are tired of investing in stocks that continue to go down, if you are tired of watching your mutual fund value reduced by the sub-prime credit crunch, you should be investing in S&P 500 E-Mini Futures.

If March ends up like January and February, trading S&P 500 E-Mini Futures is your best protection against the declining Market. And if March ends up 1.05% higher, you will still win. Instead of shorting futures, you will buy them. Either way, you'll be able to earn your 1/2 point daily.

5 Reasons To Step Away From A Trade

Volatile markets can send your positions into the negative. Indeed, bad trades frequently happen to good traders. Regardless if you are a scalper or momentum trader, the most important part to any strategy is knowing when to intelligently and rationally walk away from a trade.

1. No Support or Resistance in Sight

Technical analysis is the backbone of day trading. Day traders use technical analysis to find support and resistance levels to determine where the price will go next. Most day trading strategies are built on support and resistance, with some heed paid to news events over the course of the day. When holding a position deep in the red, or if you are contemplating taking a position, look at the chart for support and resistance lines. In an area with no support, it is likely that the stock could go in any direction.

2. Momentum is Against You

With a quick breakout out of an uptrend, you suddenly find that the market is moving against you. Upward gaps symbolize that the position has legs and will keep running. Momentum strategies usually send day traders and swing traders alike to place heavy bets in their momentum calls. Once a trend is established, traders from all around the world jump on and push the market further - meaning your trade runs further from your profitability. When the market gaps away from you, get out of the trade.

3. Low Reward

Trading success is dependent on producing returns and minimizing risk. When support and resistance levels are both within sight, it is generally not a good idea to make the trade. The marginal benefit from a support bump is not worth the risk of a trend breakdown. Create your own risk and money management criteria to determine when the time is right to make a trade.

4. Topping Out

Tops are difficult to call until they are over. Understanding candle sticks and candlestick chart patterns can make calling a top a much easier task. In a market top with significant support, the price could drop dramatically or go into a sideways trend. A sideways trend is a dangerous market because the ups and downs eventually breakdown to send the price in one direction, giving you a 50/50 probability of profitability.

5. Late in the Day

Late day breakouts can be profitable, but holding a position overnight can ruin your trading capital by market open. Swing traders might be able to weather the market open, but highly leveraged day traders should avoid late-in-the-day positions. Most trading strategies avoid late-in-the-day trades to cut interest costs and limit exposure to volatile market opens. In day trading, it is always best to start your trading day anew, limiting your risk to any overnight or pre-opening bell surprises.

The most successful traders know how to read strong trades, but equally as important, they also know exactly when to cut their losses or lock in their gains. Developing your trading acumen means trading your exit strategies and analysis.

21 Candlestick Formations Every Trader Should Know

The above describes the theme of a book by Melvin Pasternak and it tells you the best 21, of over 100 candlestick patterns which you can see or use on a forex chart. If you love candlestick charting or you want to learn, this book is a good place to start and at just $20.00 it's a steal.

Pasternak claims that by Knowing these 21 formations traders can gain a trading edge. There are those that occur most often and are more reliable and there are those that are warning signs of turning points.

Why are Candlesticks Such a Great Trading Tool?

The reason lies in the fact that they paint a picture on a chart.

This give you a more visual illustration of human psychology than a bar chart ever can. Candlestick charts bring human emotion to life right before your eyes and that's a good advantage to have, to initiate new positions or as a warning to cut and run!

A Deep Insight into Human Psychology

The answer can be found in the clear and straight-forward nature of the candlesticks themselves-offering traders the ability to see the bigger picture.

Continuation patterns, reversal patterns, emerging trends, bottom and tops -- all of these insights come together in a way that other charting systems just can't compete with.

The book explains the following:

* About the candlesticks (21 formations) every trader must know by name

* Discover the candlesticks that occur most often

* Learn about the candlesticks that will immediately affect your trading decisions

* Find out how to increase your accuracy and trade with greater confidence.

Candles combine well with other tools of technical analysis such as support and resistance, moving average, and indicators such, stochastics, RSI, ADX and MACD to name but a few.

I think paternick's choice of candlestick patterns is excellent and if you like the idea of candlestick charting, or are trading with them already, then this book will appeal to you.

Candlestick charts have been used for thousands of years and it's only in the eighties that they became popular again and let's hope that they stay popular. There fun, easy to use, can give you a deep insight into human psychology and if you are using forex charts - that's just what you need.

21 Candlesticks Every Trader Should Know, is 128 pages, an easy read and at a price of just under $20 it's a bargain.

A Tale Of Two Traders - Which One Do You Want To Be?

Today, let's talk about a tale of two traders. Let's assume that both have been trading for the same period of time. Both have the same starting capital, same trading dome, same market, and both are using the exact same trading system with precise entries and exits. We are going to leave the traders to trade for the next 60 days and see what results they have come with. Would you be surprised to find that one trader would have a 20% return and the other would have a loss of 40% during that same period. I am fascinated by the fact that two people, given the same opportunities to make money, can get very different results.

I think that the answer to success (be it at trading or at life) lies within each of us and that we are completely responsible for our own results in trading (or in life). Too often, we blame our trading results on outside events, circumstances, or other traders. The typical excuses would be: the "market" was against me, the big players were out to get me, they knew exactly where I had my stop, etc.

Not to long ago, I read a book that discussed how, to a certain extent, your trading discipline was a matter of integrity. Not exactly the kind of integrity that you would normally associate with that term. More importantly, this integrity has to do with how you adhere to your specific trading rules. This integrity has to do with: Are you being honest with the commitment you have to trading your trading rules?. Do you move your stop if a trade is going against you? Do you justify moving your stops because you think a trade that you are in is going to make money? Have you moved your limit order (to take profits) because you "have a feeling" that the market is going to continue to move in your direction? All of these actions would violate your commitment to your rules and thus violate your integrity.

Once you have a strict set of trading rules, one of the most important things that you can do is follow those rules to the letter. For me, using the "integrity" analogy helps me to look at a trade and say, "Is this a trade that fits all of my trade criteria? Can I follow my trading criteria to the letter on this trade?" If all criteria are met for the trade, then I take the trade and set my stop and limit orders. Then the hard part comes into play. If I am up a little, my natural tendency is to start to move my stop up. But that's not a part of my trading strategy. My strategy says, "If my trade is up 1.50 points, I can move my stop to break even." Not a tick before. If I were to move my stop before then, I would be violating not only my integrity, but also my trade rules.

I realize that I spend a great deal of time going over the mundane topic of trading psychology. The reason is it has been my experience that the mindset of a trader can determine to a great degree the profitability of a trader. Take a look at my beginning comparison of the "Tale Of Two Traders". My question to you is this? Which trader would you rather be? Work hard at following you trading rules. Set objective and realistic goals and... Catch a Whopper.

Can This Be The Stock Market's Ides Of March?

On March 7th, 2008 the Dow reached a double bottom at 11870. While it went through the low for a while, it was able to bounce back up and close at 11893.

Might this be the Eides of March? Could the Dow finally begin to turn back up?

At 8:15am the Feds announced that they were adding $100 billion liquidity to the Market. They did this 15 minutes before the 8:30am scheduled Unemployment news report was released. Why did they choose such a strange time to release this information? Because they knew that the Market would tank at 8:30 when it was released that there were minus 63,000 job created and that January's job creation was revised from -17,000 to -43,000.

What did Bush have to say about this down turn in jobs? "we're in a slowdown..." No shit Sherlock!

Not since the great depression have the number of foreclosures risen so fast. 8 million homes are now worth less than their mortgage. 23% of all mortgages are in delinquency. The US Dollar has reached an all-time low against the Euro. Gold has reached an all-time high and is within a stone's throw of $1,000. A gallon of gas is approaching $4.00. And all Bush can say is that "we're in a slowdown?"

What kind of investment is safe now for anyone. One reporter said that a good stock opportunity was healthcare because that has only gone down 10% not 20% like the rest of the Market. So everyone is in a panich to sell. The answer is "Stop. Don't panic!"

The Stock Market is down approximately 10% this year and about 15% from the October high of 2007. Everyone is in panic mode, must sell must sell. And financial headlines such as "sense of crisis haunts trading floors", or "recession fears rise after US Employment falls..." are adding fuel to the panic's fire.

So what should you as an investor do?

Bottom line...get more investment education. Investors tend to be willing to take the advice of their brokers when the Market goes up. But what happens when the Market turns down and gets ugly? Then brokers can do no right. That is because investors live and breathe on every word the broker says, instead of getting their own investment education. In times like these, you need a great defense, and that comes from education.

Where can you get the kind of investment education you need to stand on your own two feet? Shadowtraders offers trading education.

Things to Consider Before You Learn Forex Trading

When you learn Forex trading through online courses, on-location classes, hands-on lessons and other sources, it should explain to you that Forex is not a risk-free business. Although many become successful traders and double their investments, all traders have experienced losses. Most traders are aware of possibilities that trades would go against them. As such, you should learn Forex trading the realistic way and understand that to minimize risks; you should take caution and use trading tools properly.

To minimize losses and trade profitably, you should learn Forex one-step at a time. However, you should consider several things before you choose a course and learn Forex trading. These include scams and risks associated with trading Forex.

A few years ago, Forex scams were extremely rampant. Although the Forex industry dramatically cleaned up plenty of fraudulent brokers, you still need to be cautious when signing up with a brokerage firm. Generally, reputable Forex brokers are associated with large financial institutions, such as insurance companies and banks. They should be registered with your respective government agencies. For instance, in the U.S., brokers should register with the Commodities Futures Trading Commission or become a member of the National Futures Association. After you learn Forex trading but you are still in doubt with a particular broker, then it is best to check with the Better Business Bureau and your local Consumer Protection Bureau.

Even if you deal with a broker of good reputation, there are still plenty of risks to Forex trading. Each trade is subject to volatile markets, unexpected rate changes and even political events that may affect worldwide currencies. When you learn Forex trading using a quality course or attending a reputable school, you will learn different trading risks involving the exchange rate, interest rate, credit and country risks. Since each type of risks present different losses, it is important that you understand how to limit these risks and avoid them as much as possible.

The key to limiting risks and avoiding scams is education. When you learn Forex trading, you develop a solid trading strategy, making you an expert in telling when it is a good time to enter or exit the market as well as determining what kinds of movements to expect. After one course, you should be able to read financial charts, study indicators and master the basics of technical analysis.

As a general rule, you should never place money in the Forex market that you cannot afford to lose. If you are still uncertain of your Forex skills and knowledge, the only way to limit trading risks is through proper education. If you really want to become successful at Forex, you need to have patience, effort and time to learn Forex trading the right way.

Thursday, March 13, 2008

Trading Rooms - Nuissance or Helpful?

Debates on internet trading chat rooms have been going on for as long as the internet itself has been in existence. No one can agree whether these services provide an added benefit to individuals who wish to become full-time day-traders. Nowadays with so many chat rooms covering every type of market and products that its dizzying where to begin to find which one is the right for the beginning traders.

Trading rooms offer every need to every individual, from day trading the E-minis to stocks to Forex. There is also trading rooms for commodities and options. From day trading to swing trading, the main attraction is day trading since every trade is live and there is more action. Swing trading in chat rooms doesnt muster up the excitement since not too many trades are placed.

Many claim that trading rooms help further their understanding of the market, of themselves and discover new trading methods and approaches. Because of the camaraderie among the traders in sharing their experiences, they tend to learn from each others mistakes and weaknesses. In doing so, they learn to become aware of these mistakes and try to avoid them, thus quicken the learning curve. From their interactions with their fellow traders, they learn to see who they are as traders with feedback from others. When they make comments and get immediate feedback they can identify what state of mind they are in as well as their true personality appears when confronted with the market. This provides invaluable information in understanding their nature when trading. Some would become emotionally high and excited while another may be angry and vengeful and yet another may be wishful and hopeful. All these interactions bring out a new phase in the new trader to learn about himself and his psychological make-up. As for market understanding, he learns the psychology of the masses more than any particular strategies or setups.

Why then trading rooms have many complaints against them? Each individuals background and circumstance is different. Not everyone is able to day trade, either by the nature of the stress of day trading or other hindrances such as not financially or competently prepared enough. Some are well suited to swing trade or hold a long period on a position while another cannot stay more than two minutes in a trade.

Each chat room has a particular style and strategy in trading the markets. Some are for scalping trades while others for holding longer. Some encourage to trade more than 20 trades each while other limit to 5 trades maximum. Some use indicators while other use market internals such as the volatility, times and sales and the level II to trade, while others use patterns and price action to trade.

The problem with chat rooms is that they tend to be distracting. Trading requires a high level concentration, particular in day trading, where many signals must come in synch in order for a setup to become apparent. Judging and measuring the probability of winning on that setup has to be considered as well. When there are chatters that spend time socializing, they are in fact removing their own concentration from the charts and markets. While some are there to avoid boredom or find human contact, they distract others from trading. Some are there to wait for the signals and calls from the experts to take their trades. In short, there are many different motives and reasons why the traders are there, sometimes not really to trade.

Most times, trading rooms are a necessary step for traders to mature and discover his own strengths and weakness. But it usually comes down to opportunity cost: time and money. It takes time to learn on ones own. In order to accelerate the learning process, money needs to be spent to train with a mentor, an instructor or a book. This money is also needed to trade in real time with real money to grow as a trader. In the end, how much the trading rooms charge per month is really issue. Is one willing to pay a specific amount every month? Each trading room has its own strengths and weakness. Some are obscenely expensive while there are others that are free. Looking for the right one that fits an individual traders personality, trading skill level, financial status is the real answer.

The main problem comes from individuals not knowing what he wants and how he begins. Many don't know if his/her problem is psychological or strategy or money management. Hence, they tend to move from trading room to trading room to find out what is out there and what possibly want help pinpoint their deficiencies. But the most important factor is probably the expectations by individuals from these trading rooms. There are services that tout they can convert anyone into successful traders in a short period of time. Such deceitful marketing campaigns create mistrust against others that do provide legitimate services. The gap of delivery by the trading rooms and the expected receipt of service is what cause such problems. One must do due diligence and ask many questions. In asking those questions, he can find in himself what hes looking for.

How To Stop The Bleeding - Why 95% Of All Traders Fail

I was in a trading forum the other day and a new trader asks the question, "Does anyone make money day trading?" What a great question! The fact is that 95% of all traders lose money. That's right...they blow their account out and never make money. Quite shocking, isn't it? But if the above statement is true, that means that 5% of traders do, in fact, make money. The question becomes, "Why do such a small percentage of traders in the vast universe of day trading make money?

Undercapitalized

It is true that you do need money to trade. How much is enough? For the beginning trader, more is better. There is going to be a certain amount of mistakes a beginning trader makes no matter how careful he or she is. Trading firms have margin minimums to help protect the trader (and the firms) from immediate disaster. My thinking is that those minimums are too small for the beginning trader.

Success In Another Profession

A good many traders come from a profession that they are already successful in. They come into the day trading world with a sense that they can do anything. And because they are already successful, they usually come into the trading game with a fair amount of money. Trading requires an entirely different skill set than most any endeavor in the world. Just because a person is successful in one aspect of their life, they may not be successful day trading. There have been documented cases of doctors, lawyers, or successful salespeople who did well in their chosen profession only to fail dismally day trading.

Instant Gratification

In our fast paced, get every thing you want without waiting, society, it stands to reason that anyone considering trading would come into it with the mind set that trading is easy and there is money to be made at the drop of a hat. That simply is not true. Trading requires a tremendous amount of dedication and screen time to become consistently profitable. Trading is not one of those things that can be mastered with little or no work.

Poor Money Management Techniques

Finally, poor money management techniques contribute to many traders inability to consistently make money. There have been many books written to cover this aspect of trading. The scope of this article is not to re-write those books but to point out that money management is much more than taking a trade and deciding where to place stops and limit orders. The real issue is how a trader deals with all of the influences a trader faces while in the trade. If a trade is up, do you move your stop? If so, when, and by how much? If your trade is approaching a critical resistance area, do you cut the trade short? There are so many different ways to manage the same trade. How a trader manages the trade will, to a great degree, determine if the trader is profitable.

In summary, these are just a few reasons why most traders fail. The best thing for the new trader is to come to the table with few, if any, pre-conceived ideas about trading. Then develop the necessary skill set specifically designed for trading. Those skills can be honed by studying, screen time and reading books that help the trader to have the proper mindset. Is it difficult to accomplish? Yes! But the rewards are well worth the effort.

The Bobber Strategy - Trading With The Trend With Excellent Results

I came up with this strategy because sometimes I would miss an entry to a big move. It is frustrating to watch the market move away from you without you being "on board". I have discovered that during a big move, the market will pause for a bar or two. Identifying that pause and putting some basic rules around that pause is the basic concept around the "bobber strategy". Here are the basic rules:

1. The market has to be trending. That is defined as 3 or more bars in the same direction (up or down) with out the previous bar High/Low being taken out. Using candlestick charts, the trend is obvious. Red bars in a down trend and green bars in an up trend

I would also continue to define a trend in relationship to where the price is in comparison to the 56 EMA. If the price is above the 56 EMA, the market is generally in an uptrend, below the 56 EMA, the market is in a downtrend. I also get the question regarding why I use the 56 EMA. Many traders use the 5 minute chart to make their trade decisions on. They also use the 34 EMA as the major trendline they follow. After many years of study, I decided that it would not be in my best interest to trade against those traders. Since my strategies work best on the 3 minute chart, I decided to find the moving average that approximated the 34 EMA on the 5 minute chart. My research has shown that moving average to be the 56 EMA on the 3 minute chart.

2. Once the trend is established, you look for 1 or 2 bars that are trying to move in the opposite direction of the trend. Candlestick charts usually show these to be different colored bars. In a down trend, the bars change from red to green, in an uptrend, the bars turn from green to red.

3. Entry is one tick below the lowest green bar with a stop just above entry bar, maximum stop is 2 points. Objective is 2 points.

This strategy allows you to enter a bigger move knowing that the potential for a continuation of the move is great. Proper money management (stops in place per the strategy) will protect you in case the market has other ideas.

Before you start thinking that this simple strategy is too simple and doesn't work, last week (Jan 22-Jan 25, 4 trading day because of the MLK holiday) there were 7 bobber set-ups with 7 winning trades, 0 breakeven trades and 0 losing trades for a net profit of before slippage, or commission.

I recently got the following question: Ron, is there any scenario that you would take a LONG bobber trade below the 56 EMA or a SHORT bobber trade above the 56 EMA? The answer is yes, but requires a different set of rules. I will go over them briefly. As I stated above, trading with the trend is ALWAYS a safer trade involving much less risk. But if the market is at some type of support/resistance level AND there is a trendline break, then it is ok to take a bobber set-up trade. Let me describe the areas of support/resistance that make the trade ok to take.

First, a double bottom/top (meaning the market is testing a recent market low/high and bounces off of that level, the a bobber set-up after a trendline break would be valid. Other areas of strong support/resistance would include reaching at 127% or 161% fibonicci level. Those levels are very strong areas of support/resistance. The question that you have to answer is: if the market is at a double bottom, will it hold there? of will it move to the 127% fib level or to the 161% fib level. It is for these reason that I choose to stick with trend trades. The decision to take a trade depends on your trading style, personality, and willingness to risk with your hard earned money.

Trade Profitably in Forex - Be a Successful Trader!

So you have come up with some money to finally join the ever-popular Foreign Exchange Market; and you are itching to mark your place. While money is the most important object the trade, having it and not having the right strategy to protect it will surely lead you down to the road to failure.

The first thing that you need is to have a well thought of plan. A strategic trading plan will keep you in control of your money and your assets. It will also continuously show you how you are doing in forex trading.

When you profit, set aside some of the money you got for future use in the Foreign Exchange Market so that your investments and profits will grow. Do not just spend all the money you get in forex trading. Pay yourself, but continue cashing in on your investments.

Do not trade in more markets that you can handle. As a beginner, learn the ropes first. It is important that you are well-versed in the ins and outs of the foreign trading processes before you risk all your money. Just be patient because you may soon find yourself doing so much more than you can take.

Know global currencies and world news. There are economic and political factors that directly affect the foreign exchange market. For example, political instability almost always leads to a weakening currency. Use this knowledge to your advantage. Keep abreast of what's happening around the world specifically in the countries whose currency you wish to trade with.

The Day Trader Psyche - Gambler Or Entrepreneur

There was a short segment on CBS Sunday Morning that was titled, "The Psyche Of A Day Trader." As day trading is what I do for a living; I thought it would be interesting to tune in and see what they had to say.

The premise of the segment was that there was a correlation of the effects on the brain of what a day trader does and that of what a gambler does. Somehow, (I don't pretend to understand the methodology of the study), measurements of the brain activity of a day trader and a gambler were analyzed while both subjects were involved in their various pursuits. Apparently, there were certain similarities between the two. This begs the question: Are day traders' gamblers or are they entrepreneurs?

There is something to be said for the rush of being in a trade that is making you money. To a certain extent, day traders are addicted to the feeling that they were right, that all of their hard work to get to a level of profitability is paying off. On the other hand, the sheer frustration and bewilderment a trader feels when a trade goes against him/her is equally as devastating.

Most any successful person in life has experienced similar feelings. If you are a salesman, there are similar emotions associated with closing a big deal that go beyond the aspect of "just making a living." If you are a research scientist, solving a specific problem that you have been working on must carry the same feeling. If you are a detective and have just solved a particularly difficult crime, would in a certain sense, again create the same feeling of elation. So it stands to reason that just being a day trader and having feelings of excitement doesn't make you a gambler; it just makes you human.

So the next question for the day trader is how do you adequately deal with the ups and downs of your profession? For the active trader, learning how to deal with this predicament is as important as finding the right trading system to use. As any seasoned trader knows, taking a losing trade is as inevitable as death and taxes. The best way to deal with this situation is to have a very defined set of rules and the mind set and resolve to carry them through. It is also important to have enough confidence in your trading system to have a positive expectation about the result of the trade. That way, when you do take a losing trade, you know that the probability of the next trade being a winner is high.

On final thought. There is no way a gambler can stack the odds in his favor. The house is always going to win. Why do you think they have all of those big beautiful casinos in Las Vegas? At least with day trading, a trader can, with a lot of practice, turn the odds in their favor. Is it easy? Nope, nothing in life that is worthwhile is ever easy! Is it possible? Absolutely!! With enough practice, the right system, the right money management rules, the right mind set combine with the integrity to follow through on those rules, day trading can not only be profitable but very rewarding.

Fibonacci Levels - A Few Trade Secrets Revealed

First off, I don't claim to be a "guru" on fibonacci levels. Like any other trading technique, a new trader needs to do their own homework and see exactly how the market reacts to various fibonacci levels (from this point forward, I am going to abbreviate the fibonacci word by "fib" because to type fibonacci out every time would lengthen this article by half again).

I am not going to look at any other indicators (like moving averages, or other technical indicators). In my full trading plan, those indicators play an important part of deciding if I take a trade or not. In another words, just because you have reached some of the fib levels I am going to talk about in this article, DO NOT take a trade unless other criteria have been met. Fib levels, while important, are not a be all, end all, stand alone strategy.

The 61.8% Fib Level

When I first started trading, many of the trading books and manuals that I studied recommended using the 38.20% (38%) fib level, and the 50% fib level to analyze support/resistance areas. While I have found those to be somewhat useful, there are other levels that I have found to really give a trader a better edge in making decisions on where support/resistance areas are. The first of these levels is the 61.8% (61%) fib level. Most charting platforms have a fib tool built in. In Tradestation, the fib tool is very easy to use. Let's assume that the market opened (point 1), moved down and bounced off of a certain level (point 2) and then began to rally back up to point 1. The price stops there and begins a pullback. Using your fib tool, click on point 1 and then on point 2 and release. Your fib levels will then be marked. It is important to see how the price reacts to the 40%, 50% and ultimately the 61% fib level. The market can turn and go in the other direction at any of these levels. My research has shown that the larger the pullback (specifically the 61% fib level), the better chance that the market will turn around and go in the other direction. I have seen many times that the market will pause at the 61% fib level, almost as if it is trying to make up it's mind if its going to stop there, or head on in the original direction it was headed. I urge you to start watching the 61% fib level and see how many times that level holds the price in.

The 127% Fib Level

If the 61% fib level described above is broken, then the next two fib levels come into play. The second fib level that my testing shows is worthy of mention is the 127% external fib level. Usually (but not always), once the 61% fib level is crossed, the market will travel to the 127% external fib area. An interesting point is that many traders don't acknowledge or use the external fibs to determine possible stopping areas. I am amazed at how many times the market turns on a dime at this level.

The 161% Fib Level

Another level that I think needs to be addressed is the 161% external fib level. If the 127% fib level doesn't hold the price in, the next stopping point is the 161% fib level. This level also seems to stop a trend in its tracks.

How To Use Fib Levels

In my opinion, there are two ways to use fib levels. If I am looking to enter a trade and the 61% fib level is right above/below my entry, I will pass on the trade and wait for a set-up without that area to compete with. Secondly, if the 61% fib level has been broken, I know that there is a reasonable chance for the price to go to the 127% or 161% fib extension area.

Conclusion

As you began to work with fibs, understand that these areas are just that, areas. That means that when the price approaches a fib level, it can go past that level by a few ticks or more and still be a valid fib level. I hope that if you are serious about learning how to day trade, you put fibs in your tackle-box as a tool to help evaluate strong support and resistance levels. Charts describing the above set-ups and more free commentary are available on my blog. I hope that Fib levels help you be able to: Catch a whopper!!

Regards,

Ron Lewis

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

Forex Trading Education - How Long Should I Demo Trade?

Demo trading is an indispensable aspect of every retail trader's career. It would be foolhardy to trade 'live' in the Forex market without first getting your feet wet with paper trading.

What Is Demo Trading?

Demo trading (or 'paper trading') involves normal trading activities such as entering into buy (or sell) trades, setting stop orders, and exiting the market. It's basically the same as actual trading except for one crucial difference: you're not trading with real money.

Most Forex brokers provide this service at no cost to retail traders because they hope the retail traders will move on to using their paid services when ready to 'go live'. The brokers will typically provide you with a demo trading account where your winnings (or losses) are calculated, and also a trading platform for you to monitor the market and to place your trades with.

Why Is Demo Trading Recommended For Beginner Traders?

It allows new traders to familiarize themselves with the brokers' trading platforms - for example, to learn how to place buy and sell orders, as well as how to set stop orders etc.

It's a common occurrence for new traders to enter into a buy trade when they want to sell, and vice versa. Without a paper trading account, they'll be paying for such simple errors with real money!

What Demo Trading Can't Help You With

Within the 'safety net' of a paper trading account, many conservative traders are unwilling to start 'live trading' accounts. These traders take comfort in knowing that they can't lose any real money.

This is a dangerous mindset to adopt because actual trading inherently involves taking real risks. When amateur traders grow too comfortable within the confines of a demo account, they stop their learning process: the important aspect of psychological discipline is ignored.

So don't wait until you're completely sure that you're making money before you trade 'live'. That day will never come. My advice is to trade live as soon as you've mastered the controls of your trading platform, but to trade with smaller amounts first.

One of the most important lessons to be learnt in Forex trading is how to manage the psychological impact of actual losses, and you can't get that by paper trading.

Forex Autopilot Vs Forex Killer - Which is The Best Forex Trading Software For You?

First of all, let me congratulate you for your decision to acquire a forex trading software. This is the main step to developing a steadily increasing income from the forex market. One of the main reasons so many people end up losing their shirts when they try to trade on the forex is that they do it manually and don't use any supporting software.

Two of the most renowned automatic forex trading softwares are Forex Autopilot by Marcus Leary and Forex Killer by Andreas Kirchberger. These 2 trading softwares have been used by thousands of people worldwide and even created a few lucky millionaires.

But which is the better one for you? Is it Forex Autopilot or Forex Killer?

To tell you the truth, for the home user who wants to raise his or her profits and make a steady handsome income from home, either of these two softwares will work. However, there are a few differences which you should know:

  • Each of these softwares comes with a lot of help to get you started. With Forex Killer, you may find Andreas Kirchberger's accent to be a bit disconcerting at first (especially if you're not a European), but don't worry, you will soon get the hang of it.
  • Forex Killer works on all major trading platforms while Forex Auto Pilot works solely on the MateTrader4 platform. It shouldn't make any difference to you but I thought you just might like to know it.


As to the support these 2 systems offer and the results they deliver, both Forex Killer and Forex Auto Pilot offer close support and can deliver excellent results. Just take a little time to get to know how they work, and then let them to the job for you. Your bank manager will likely be pleasantly surprised when he sees your next statement.

Online Day Trading Software - 6 Reason Why I Chose The Software

This article will explain what Online Trading Software Platform I purchased and the 6 reasons why I chose the platform.

You will need to make a list of functions and services that you will need before you purchased a data feed and charting package. Because Online Trading Software is a very personal decision, what I like about the software may not be what you need or are interested in. The bottom line is that you must have a list of criteria and select the best company based on your list.

Do not start shopping before you have this list because you will be sucked into features and functions that you will never use.

Ok, let's move forward and look at my personal list of criteria.

Reason 1) Real Time Data: When I first looked into the different options for software, I knew that I needed a robust platform that would supply me with real time data. This limited my choices down because a lot of the free web based programs have a data delay. Since I day trade and swing trade, I could not afford to have a data delay (which is OK if you are trading long term).

Reason 2) Wide Variety of Market Data: I needed market data for the CME and NYMEX

Reason 3) Wide Variety of Indicators and Charting Methods: I wanted a platform that would do Point and Figure Charting as well as Japanese Candlesticks. I also needed the MACD, RSI, and Moving Averages.

Reason 4) Competitive Rates: I needed a provider that had rates I could afford for the data that I needed.

Reason 5) Easy Custom Programming: I required a platform that I could program with out having to be a Computer Engineer. I wanted to be able to back test strategies, program custom indicators and trading systems somewhat easily.

Reason 6) Reputable Company: I wanted to stay with a reputable company that had an established presence with its platform and data feed.

[Side Note: Another reason I did not want to write this article is because it looks like a promotion for TradeStation. This article is not making me any money from TradeStation. I am not affiliated with TradeStation in anyway other then using their platform, datafeed, and having a brokerage account with them.]

After looking at several options following my 6 reasons above, I decided to purchase a subscription to TradeStation.

I opened up an account with them because they offered a discount if I was a brokerage client (Reason number 4 above).

TradeStation uses a programming language called EasyLanguage that is user friendly (after all, it's called EasyLanguage) once you get the hang of it. They even offer classes that you can take if you are confused or want to get really good with it.

It allows me to back test, program custom indicators, modify indicators (Reason number 5 above).

It also has just about every kind of market data that you could ask form including CME and NYMEX (Reason number 2 above).

On top of everything else, it had won numerous awards from industry publications (Barron's and Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities). (Reason number 6 above).

When you first start with TradeStation it is a little overwhelming. However, it is like anything else in life, the more you use it, the easier it becomes.

I am sure that I will be getting a lot of questions on TradeStation now, which was not my intention of the article. They also have an extensive help section and BLOG if you run into any problems. I hope this helps you see the methodology I used in order to select my Online Trading Software successfully. If you need any help setting up the platform for trading or have any other questions, please let me know.

Do You Have A System?

When we speak about the difference between new traders and professional traders a lot of differences stand out. There is actually a pretty long list of these, but I think we should focus on a topic that should definitely help our readers. When I talk to new traders I find most don't have a valid system. A system is not focused around gut reactions or feelings about the market. A system is a tested and disciplined plan of attack that is emotionless and stubborn. All too often new traders jump into trading futures without a plan or objectives. Typically, most new traders use a system based on outside information or feelings. This is almost always disastrous; due to the fact successful traders are not typically lucky. A personal system is a must have if you want consistent success.

If you've been exposed to futures trading for a while you have received emails and read ads offering systems you can trade, or even automated systems you can obtain for a price. Surprisingly enough a personal trading system doesn't take a guru to figure out. Successful systems come from testing , back testing , and market indicators that you trust and understand. As a Broker and Advisor I have taught clients how to create their own system. Sometimes if it fits I'll teach them my own. So let's talk about the main keys to developing your own personal system.

1) Pick a market- Find a market you have an interest in and understand and track it. It is important to remember not all markets act alike. Get familiar with it and get to know how it reacts to news and fundamental information. See how much volume it has and get a feel.

2) Know the cost- Know whether or not the margin and contract size truly fits your comfort level. If you trade Crude Oil and your sweating the high volatility and large margin, it may not be for you.

3) Entry and Exit plan- Develop an entry and exit plan, and stay disciplined. A good system never deviates. Don't adjust it mid trade. Stay disciplined.

4) Test It - Most brokers offer simulated trading platforms to test your system. Keep testing it and back testing it until it makes sense on paper. If your trial runs out get another one. Don't put you money on it until you've worked out the kinks.

5) Make it emotionless- If you are creating a system and you still get stomach aches after you enter the trade your system is not emotionless. If it has been tested and makes sense, you ought to be able to walk away and do something else. The best systems ought to have solid execution areas. Once in what happens next shouldn't consume you. You have you stop losses and profit objectives, just let it work.

6) Expect not to win on every trade - Even the best system has a losing trade once in a while. Don't scrap a system if it wins only 55% of the time, refine it.

The ideas expressed and the data from which they are drawn are believed to be reliable but can not be guaranteed. Commodity trading may not be suitable for all recipients. Those acting on this information are responsible for their own actions.

Forex Killer Review - Does Andreas Kirchberger's Forex Killer Really Work?

Forex Killer by Andreas Kirchberger is one of the most popular and successful forex trading softwares in the world today. But does Forex Killer really work?

First of all, there are no guarantees in life. Whatever anyone promises you, you can still lose. Even if you're given a great tool like Forex Killer, you still need to know how to operate it. What I mean to say is that you need to know how to operate this piece of software in order to make a killing with it in the forex market.

Forex Killer does work. Over 3000 people have used it to enrich their bank accounts by trading in the Forex market. But even a great trader like Andreas Kirchberger didn't become rich over night. What I mean is that you need to let the software work for you, not continue to make the same mistakes people make who don't use a software. If you do that you will earn more money. What I mean by that is that you need to let Forex Killer work and not let your emotions get in the way. That's how people lose money. They make hasty decisions that are driven by fear. Don't be one of those people, let the software make the money for you.

Here is a quick review of Forex Killer features:

  1. Works in multiple countries (in fact in any country)
  2. Works with multiple currencies
  3. It can provide you with analysis of market trends
  4. It recognizes trends very early so you can make a swift trade
  5. It can actually trade automatically for you, even if you're not sitting at your computer
  6. It is very easy to use
  7. It's based on mathematical models which provide optimal decision making
  8. It can track and operate on several markets simultaneously


What I like about Forex Killer is that it actually lets you have more free time while making more money. It's the perfect employee: it doesn't get sick, doesn't get time off, doesn't complain. Forex Killer just works. It's no wonder Andreas Kirchberger became such a rich trader by using it.

Day Trading Tutorials - Some Facts To Consider

Day trading has always been acknowledged by many as being as risky as gambling. Is this a bad rap, or is it really true? You cannot deny that trading and gambling involve great monetary rewards. Gambling has from the beginning of time been based on pure chance. Day trading to be successful on the other hand, has always involved skill and a good amount of knowledge to go along with a certain amount of luck. More and more day traders have been seeking day trading tutorials lately so that more skill and knowledge can be gained to increase their chances of success.

Traders are quite aware that they cannot rely on fate to decide their chances of winning at day trading. A good comparison to day trading would be a game of cards, not a game of roulette, slots, or other forms of gambling that are pure games of chance. Good luck has its place in bridge and poker. It comes into play in the cards one is dealt, something a player has no control over. However, the victor of the game is always decided by how the cards are played, not what is dealt. That is where knowledge and skill come into play.

The following are thirteen things you should know about day trading. These pointers should give you a good background, and supply you with important information about day trading and the importance of day trading tutorials before you make your first or next trade.

1) Learning to be a day trader means knowing the ins and out of the activity and what exactly is day trading.

Day trading involves the buying and selling of securities, or financial instruments such as stocks, their options, future contracts, foreign currencies, all within the same day they are bought. One is looking to take advantage of high market volatility or activity. The goal obviously is to profit from such activity. The actual doing it can seem strange and confusing to the uninformed and novice trader. Once one gets experienced, all the pieces of the puzzle fall into place.

2) Once the initial trade is filled and in the account, day traders will hold that position looking for an opportune time during the day to cash out of the position and realize an acceptable profit for their trouble. This opportune time may come in only seconds, minutes, or perhaps in hours.

Day traders never look to hold their positions for the long term. Their goal is to get out as soon as possible based on how they are doing with the position. Their ally is wild fluctuations during the day or strong developing trends in their holdings so that they can seek out potential profits in multiple short term positions or investments. Day traders will close out these positions during the day regardless of the positions profitability. This means, even at a loss, if necessary, they will go to a blank balance sheet at the end of the day. They can then look forward to a night of not having to worry about what will happen overnight to their positions when the markets open in the morning.

I realize it is way too early to see the importance of day trading tutorials, but you will if you keep reading this series of articles.

Tuesday, March 11, 2008

Online Stock Trading - Finishing The Trade

It only takes a few minutes to review a trade that you have just closed. Though most people overlook the importance of this brief examination, the benefits of a simple trade analysis are huge. This value is certainly true both in future profit potential and the positive effect of quickly improving your online stock trading methods.

It's very important to keep a trading journal. You can use something as simple as a plain paper notebook or as sophisticated as a trade management software program. Whichever you choose, here is a short list of questions to include in each trade review ...

  • How did you choose your trade?
  • What were your reasons for buying or going short?
  • What was the basis for the trading setup - perhaps a certain pattern, indicator, or moving average?
  • How did you feel as you placed the order?
  • Was the order filled close to the actual entry price?
  • Did you enter a stop?
  • What were your thoughts as the trade progressed?
  • How well did the stop work?
  • Was it too tight or too broad?
  • How did your exit strategy perform?
  • What emotions emerged once you closed the trade?
  • Did you stick with your overall online stock trading plan?
  • Should you have done anything differently?

A calm analysis of your trades will give you much more than excitement from a big winner or disappointment from a loser. Keeping a log of the "before and after" aspects of your online stock trading experiences will help you learn from the past and improve your methods.

The review process also lets you be more objective about your emotional strengths and weaknesses. Not surprisingly, this type of routine self-assessment will dramatically improve your online stock trading skills.

Online Trading - A Profitable Avenue For Investors

Are you searching for the best investment options available on the Internet? If yes, then delve into the enthralling world of online stock market trading. It's a platform where the sooner you come; the more you can reap the benefits. This easy and unique wire world of investing has indeed given a new meaning to the investment world. So, don't think more, invest your hard earned money and enjoy the benefits in a very short period of time. This technological innovation in the investment world has also opened a new vista for common investors who have never been in such type of trading before.

This revolution has notably advanced all across the world. You can feel the power of the Internet - with a PC and an Internet connection; you can start trading from almost any corner of the world. There are several advantages associated with such type of trading over other types of trading options available in the market. First of all, it is easy to manage; flexible, as there is no locking period and you can invest as per your financial strength. Though the attraction involved in online trading is obvious, Internet has added more leverage with the introduction of Web awareness through electronic content such as business news, chat-rooms and a wealth of resources including investment strategies, online financial advices and more.

With the gumption of major online trading companies available on the Web, the electronic communication networks are growing vastly and providing uncompromising services to individuals. Though such companies are mushrooming in the market, but you can't expect the same services from all of them. There are many companies who fail to offer the services mentioned in their Websites. Therefore, precautions must be taken while choosing the industry. Do some market research and find the best industry as per your need.

With the advent of the Internet stock trading, many new investors are showing their interest in this venture and making profits. No one wants to lock his or her money for a period of time - here stock trading gives added leverage to the investors. You can draw money anytime you want. Other remarkable benefits associated with such type of trading are mentioned below:

Best profits: Unlike traditional brokerage house, there is no middleman involved. Therefore, investors directly enjoy the benefits. This is again one of the major benefits that have attracted many new investors.

Liquidity: Since,

Learn to Love Your Losers

Ok, so no trader truly enjoys taking a losing trade. But if you want to succeed in this business of day trading, learning to love your losers (or at least accepting them) is one of the most important lessons you can learn. Psychologically, human beings are not well designed for trading financial markets. We hate losing, we hate being wrong, and we get buffeted about by those twin emotions - fear and greed. This leads us into all sorts of self destructive habits. Moving stop losses further out - just to give the trade time to turn round. Or grabbing a profit as soon as it appears - just in case we have to give it back.

The simple fact is that most successful traders lose as many, more likely more, trades as they win. What separates them from the rest is their ability to cut a losing position and run a winner for as long as possible. The arithmetic is simple. If your average winner is twice the size of your average loser, then you can be wrong on 50% of your trades and still make very good money.

In fact, you can be wrong 66% of the time and still break even. Improve the ratio by more than two to one and you can make massive amounts of money in the markets. Unless you can learn the art of letting winners run and cutting your losers short, you will never get those big winners that make the difference, and you will never reach that magical relationship where your average win is at least twice as big as your average loss. This fundamental concept holds true no matter what time frame you trade and whether you're a day trader, swing trader, or even if hold your trades for over a year.

The key to reaching this state of affairs is to develop or adopt a high probability trading system and stick to it. The more you can automate the trading process, the less likely you will fall into bad habits. This will take the psychological problems away and allow you to be less controlled by your emotions.

So don't be afraid of losing trades. They are part and parcel of this business. Learn techniques that will allow you to minimize and control them and the profitability of your trading will improve more than you can imagine. Fail to master this concept and you set yourself up for disappointment and frustration.

Of course, getting the mental bit right is only part of the answer. There is a plethora of moving parts when it comes to trading. Learning how to pick good trades, understanding entry and exit signals, and spotting when a move is coming to an end are vitally important, too.

Trading Stocks Online - 10 Steps You Should Follow to Get Started Day Trading

Online Day trading - Sounds fancy or prestigious in some way. If you talk to someone who has been day trading online for several years, odds are that what they tell you will be over your head if you are just beginning your online stock trading. This guide is meant to serve as a stepping stone for beginners to help you get started, but also a "refresher course" for the seasoned day trader, as many of the trading ground rules rarely change. I've been involved in stock trading online for a couple years, although somewhat sporadically. Even for the beginner or professional, there are many resources available to help improve your "sixth sense" for the market.

1. Services for Trading Online

There are many services where you can set up brokerage accounts to begin day trading. Many have similar features, while each may expand a little in different areas. The best thing to do when finding a service is to visit the website and just try it out. See how you like the look and feel of the site, and use the resources that the site provides to get a feel for the main account area, and also the trading area. The service you choose needs to be familiar and comfortable to you, so that when you are making your trades you are confident with using the service.

2. Set Up Your Account

Well, this is an easy part of the formula. The worst part of this is the long forms that you are supposed to read concerning the markets and notices, and other legal forms. I would recommend printing this information and reading through it so that you will have a better understanding of the rules for the market. Once you have your account activated, there is usually a process to add a bank account and get it verified so that you can fund your account. This may vary with brokerage, so you have to read the rules to get set up.

3. Get the Feel of the Trading Area

This part is very important. Most online brokerages have tutorials and sometimes even videos that show you the basics of their site. Always make sure to look through the Help file for the brokerage if you get lost or do not understand certain terms on the site. After all, browsing and reading the help section is usually the fastest way to figure out anything that you don't understand on a website.

4. The Three "R's" of Trading

Research, Research, and Research some more! It sounds redundantly repetitive, but don't be fooled into thinking you can win this war (see next step) without knowing what you are up against. Knowledge is the best tool in your arsenal, so make sure you are doing your homework!

5. Choose Your Warriors

You are the General. The investments that you choose (in this case the companies you invest in) are your warriors. And this is a battle that you will want to keep a close eye on. It is your hard earned money at stake. Sometimes you may lose a battle, supposing that the company you just invested in goes belly up, but the whole point is to make sure you win the war! You are not just investing to have something to do during the day (or are you?). This money may be your retirement fund if that is what you have planned.

6. Practice Trades - Break Out the Play Money!

This step is actually quite fun. If you will check out my resource box below, you will find a link to a website that has many resources on it, including a place that I use where you can set up a "play money" account and see how you do with investing. So a company you bought into took a dive towards the big zero? That's alright, there is a handy dandy reset button to start over! Too bad you can't do that once you get into the real money...

7. The Opening Bell

I have heard many people say that they make their trades before the opening bell of the day, because trading during the day can get very emotional for the investor. Don't let your emotions be a factor in your investments! If you follow my guidelines and do your research, you are much better equipped to make decisions without emotion. As I mentioned earlier, the best tool you have on your side is educating yourself about the market, the companies, running the numbers, and knowing your exit strategy. You will begin to develop your own system of investing and studying as you go along.

8. Think You Got It? Now for the Green!

Here's where the magic happens. Once you have educated yourself on all the points I have made, and any other areas you find you need to know about, you can fund your brokerage account and get started with your investments. If you feel more comfortable playing it slow at first, then just start out with a small portion of your total investment capital and go at your own speed. Just remember to never get in a hurry, and never let your emotions affect your investment decisions.

9. Risk versus Reward

In the world of online stock trading, there is a delicate balance that poses a decision all investors must make. This is the decision of Risk versus Reward. Under most circumstances, the more risk you take, the more reward is possible to achieve. However, with more risk, you could also end up losing a lot more of your hard earned money. Each person must decide for themselves the amount of risk they are willing to take on a trade, and, as mentioned earlier, this will affect the choice of companies that you are willing to trade on. Which brings us to the final (and probably most important) step in this series...

10. Keeping Your Sanity!

Now I know this sounds funny, especially to anyone who is new to stock trading. But on a serious note, some people take on too much risk while looking for that great payout. To many new stock traders, the idea that your money is floating around out there in cyberspace and it's fate is attached to some company that you may have never seen, can be scary. Balancing the risk and reward equation to a level that you are comfortable with is something that just may help you sleep better at night.

So now that you have a step-by-step idea of how to get started, all that is left is to go for it. But as a good rule of thumb, I always tell anyone looking for an investment that they should never risk more than they are willing to lose. And of course, if you don't feel comfortable making the choices of investments, stay in that practice zone until you are comfortable with it. If that still does not help you, you should seek the advice of a professional broker, and perhaps the service you choose has people available to consult with you. Always use all the resources that are available to you, and your investments will be based on a very well researched decision.

Trading Strategy - The Almost Perfect Hedge Is Short Against The Box

Trading Strategy - The almost perfect hedge is short against the box, but with "the new rules" now in place, it is considered by many the perfect trading strategy.

When an investor or trader goes short "against the box" they are engaging in a very conservative situation. For example: If an investor owns (long) 100 shares of ZNC and sells (short) 100 shares of ZNC they are now in the almost "perfect hedge". There is no loss if the stock plummets in price and there is no gain if the stock climbs to the stratosphere (hence the "almost perfect hedge").

The almost perfect hedge can be a useful trading strategy in a situation where an investor currently owns a number of shares of stock but does not have physical possession. This might be a situation where an investor is receiving the stock from the settlement of an estate, a corporate pension plan, or any other situation where ownership is being transferred.

In the situation of impending delivery an investor or trader may want to "short against the box" so that no value will be lost during the process of delivery (when the shares could not be sold on the open market). In order to effectively execute this trading strategy the investor or trader must meet certain margin requirements (Regulation T) which could require a deposit of 50% of the stocks value at the time of entry.

However, under the new rules of Regulation T, a savvy trader could quite possibly enter this position without having to deposit any additional margin monies. This of course would depend on the size of the investors or traders account and the ultimate structure of the trading strategy.

Shorting against the box can be a helpful and profitable trading strategy in the proper situation, however it should be used with caution and understanding. Shorting against the box can also be a profitable trading strategy when the new rules of regulation T are used to their full potential.

If becoming a DartThrow Trader, so that you can quickly, easily and intuitively determine when to short against the box, is something that naturally appeals to your trading strategy; then we would like to invite you to visit http://www.dartthrowtrader.com and enroll in our free - successful investing and money management weekly newsletter.

Penny Stocks Profits - Just Go With The Flow (And Ebb)

Rhythms in Nature

All of nature, all of the universe actually, is deeply embedded with rhythms. Think of the tides ebbing and flowing, in and out, in and out, day in and day out. The phases of the moon are so regular you can trace them back for centuries. Birds migrate, animals hibernate. Seasons come and seasons go with great regularity.

And in our own lives we experience the rhythms of getting up each morning, living our daily lives, going to bed each night, We see rhythms in families - children being born, children growing up, children leaving home. And even in childbirth itself, we see the distinct rhythms of the birthing process in the ebb and flow of labor pains, forcing that new life out into daylight.

Rhythms in Stock Trading

Now bring that awareness over into the world of day trading stocks. Of course there are rhythms in stocks. Once you bring that awareness foremost in your mind, you will begin to trade with a greater degree of confidence.

In the world of trading stocks (be it penny stocks or the blue chip behemoths) there are patterns and cycles. Rhythms, if you will. This is why charts are so important. This is where these rhythms can be seen, studied, analyzed and followed - in the charts. Charts will reveal distinct hidden patterns time after time after time. The patterns are also referred to as "trendlines." Believe me, people have been studying these patterns (technical analysis) for many generations. But it's still not a science.

The study of Rhythms - Technical Analysis

The study of rhythms and patterns of movements in stock trading is much like weather forecasting. The weatherman can get it pretty close, especially with the present technical tools and equipment at their disposal. But they also get it wrong at times. The same with technical analysis. It can be a guide to show what is likely to happen, but not a sure-fire guarantee.

Lack of space in this article prevents a detailed discussion on patterns, but this is it in a nutshell: Market prices move in zig-zag fashion. Peaks represent the price where more people sell than buy so market couldn't overcome this price. These prices are called resistance levels.

The troughs on the other hand represent the price where buying pressure was higher than selling. These troughs are called support levels. Understanding resistance levels and support levels is pretty much the basic ABCs of technical analysis.

Candlestick Charts

You may already be familiar with the candlestick method of charting. Japanese candlestick charting, a centuries-old technique used to forecast price behavior, can be used to increase your understanding of dozens of recurring market patterns. When the techniques of candlestick charting are combined with traditional technical approaches, it creates a powerful formula for the savvy investor.

Chart pattern recognition may seem strange and daunting at first. But the more charts you see, the more familiar you become with the patterns, the easier it will be for you to recognize movements that will mean profitable trades for you.

Channeling Patterns

For instance, channeling stocks are stocks that trade within a certain range between high and low price points for a period of time and may become predictable over time. Savvy traders seek out stocks that repeat this channeling pattern. As the stock goes up and down, traders buy and sell over and over again. What a way to make a living!

By the way, if you were not aware, it is possible to make money a falling stock. It's call shorting the stock. That's why when prices are tumbling, some smart trader out there is making a boatload of money.

Stock-Trading Robot named MARL

Again, if all this sounds somewhat daunting and, well, terrifying, please take heart. Technology has come to your rescue. While it is still very important for you to understand the basics of penny stock day trading, realize that a new stock trading robot named MARL, has arrived on the scene. MARL is now making the entire process of analyzing stock patterns and rhythms much, much simpler and easier.

This stock trading robot has the capacity to process 1,986,832 mathematical calculations per second. Because of the speed and simplicity, this robot has created over 100 millionaires since 2007. The stocks that MARL recommends earn an average profit of 105% within 3 hours of the market opening.

The good news is that the corporation managing the computer system, is offering a subscription-based model for the general public on a limited basis. This stock-trading robot may be your answer to learning how to make a living day trading penny stocks.

Being aware of and appreciating the trends, patterns and rhythms of stocks trading will go a long way in helping you to profit. Coupling your own personal knowledge with the incredible genius of the programmers who created MARL, will make all the difference in your day trading success.