Saturday, June 14, 2008

Three Reasons to Consider Forex Trading As Your Home-Based Business

Home-based businesses are gradually gaining popularity and the best reasons behind it are simple: you can set your own hours, do what you love and still earn a substantial income. Among the many home-based businesses today, the majority are focusing on online business activity. The most popular are affiliate marketing, IT and web services, selling on ebay, and blogging. While these activities require a lot of time and effort, there's one excellent home-based business that many seem to shun because it's commonly believed to involve a lot of mathematical skills. This amazingly profitable business is forex trading.

Forex trading is the specialised field in which you buy one currency and sell another. Whether it's referred to as forex, foreign exchange or just FX, it all means the same thing. The global foreign exchange market is worth over 3 trillion US dollars and is extremely large in comparison to the combined world markets of stocks and bond trading. The forex trading market is based on speculation, rather than actual commercial requirements.

The huge growth in today's foreign exchange trade is because of the internet. With the internet's growth, instant communication has reached new levels and this is very helpful for the forex trader. Exchanging currency values depend a lot on the 'spot market', which means you fix a value immediately and arrange for the trade then and there, based on the current market potential. With instant, real-time communication, online trading has become the next generation standards of forex trading. This is, perhaps, the most sound reason for starting a home-based business in forex trading.

Since online trading is perfectly acceptable and all current traders favour immediate trading activity, your forex trading home-based business will flourish quickly. If you are unfamiliar with forex trading, there are many free online tutorials to teach you the basics. Once you've mastered the techniques and learnt all the nooks and crannies, you'll be unstoppable. Also, there are many robot trading software applications, which take on the hard work on your behalf. These online trading software monitor the market and does analytical speculations for you, saving you lots of time and effort. As a home-based business, online trading is a profitable market and combining this with the immense potential of forex trading gives you a limitless earning possibility.

There are three excellent reasons to consider forex trading as your home-based business.

Convenience - There's great convenience in the forex trading business, because you can set your own times for sitting down and conducting a few trades. As mentioned earlier, online trading robot software can take care of all the monitoring and speculating on your behalf. The main operative points are in New York, London, Frankfurt, Syndey and Tokyo, which means the market is open 24-hours.

High Liquidity - The currency trading market is not governed by a central exchange, unlike stock trading. So, forex trading is considered as an interbank market, which simply means the trading is done within a few hours and is based on over-the-counter rate tendencies.

Low Operative Costs - Probably the best reason to make forex trading your home-bases business, it costs very little to make a single transaction.

6 Skills Every Trader Should Have Going Into Trading

Whether day trading, scalping, or investing, there are fundamental skills that each trader should master. Skill-building activities will help you sharpen your ability to make money and cash in on critical market movements.

1. Don't Be a Perfectionist

Consistent profits are achieved from winning more than you lose - not winning every single trade. There are plenty of professional traders who generate profits by winning just 10% of their trades by maximizing gains and minimizing their losses.

2. Stick to a Trading Plan

Developing a trading plan is extremely important. Day trading around your own set plan for each position will produce consistent profits. A trading plan planner should be your best friend when developing your own trading style. The key is sticking to what you've written down on paper.

3. Know the Odds

You should know the payoff odds for each trade that you take. Scalping produces large gains from small movements with higher risk than swing trading. Your trading plan should include a way to regulate how much capital you're willing to risk on each position - but you should never risk more than 2% of your total account value.

4. Complete Trading Plan

The skill to plan is the most important. A complete trading plan should be more than just "trade everyday from 9-3." A plan should include how to act in upswings and downswings and how to protect your capital. In many cases, a thin plan is worse than no plan at all. Stick to your guidelines to get the most out of each trade.

5. Ability to Keep Emotions Under Control

It's hard not to be emotional with hundreds or thousands of dollars on the line each moment of the day. Think like you would in a survival scenario; you've got to be calm and keep your head above the water. Many traders slip from their plan and take positions to cover losses only to lose more money. Over time, a complete trading plan will produce consistent profits, but only if you believe in it.

6. Know How the Market Responds

After getting some experience, you should be able to know how the market responds to certain events before they happen. If there was a negative Non-farm payroll statistic last month, and the Dow lost 60 points, it would be smart to consider that the same would happen again. History does repeat itself in the financial markets.

How to Achieve Day Trading Success

More people have ventured into day trading, and it is not surprising why. The promise of fast, easy money makes the business attractive to most people. Aside from that, there are other benefits that this type of business gives. But like any kind of business, not everyone is as successful as the others. Here are some tips to be successful in this undertaking.

Learn what you need to know about day trading. Join clubs, read books, enroll in a short-term course, surf the internet. I am yet to find a successful day trader who did not study the financial market, develop plans, or analyze past trades. Learn to read charts, figures and whatever trade symbols that are used in today's market. Some sites offer free information as well as simulation software programs that you can download and try.

Join seminars or meetings and listen to what experts have to say. Although you may not follow the strategies that they used, you will at least learn from their opinions and insights. As you start trading, you can join chat rooms or message boards and talk with traders like you. In this way, you can keep track of the latest financial market news and other updates.

Do not let emotions affect the way you trade. After a few losses, you decide to quit trading altogether. Or worse, you become fearful and doubtful, so you are always hesitant in your decisions. Or you may experience a few gains, and decide to continue with the same position, even if it is contrary to the plan that you made. This should not be the case. Once you've developed a strategy or game plan, it is best to stick to it.

Keep a record of all the trades that you made. In this way, you are able to keep track of both your gains and losses. Make a list of what trades you made, how much it cost, and other notes on the transactions. Study the losses and mistakes that you made, and work on it. To be successful, it is important to be consistent.

To be successful in day trading, you must learn to speak day trading language. Know what there is to know. More importantly, be bold in making your choices. Successful traders are those who are confident and objective in the decisions that they make. Of course, they did not become successful right away. It takes a few weeks, months, even years, before they've mastered their craft.

Friday, June 13, 2008

How To Earn Extra Income - Online Trading For 100%+ Gains

If you are like me, you see your computer and your Internet connection as a way to generate some extra income in your spare-time. There are so many opportunities available to each one of us that it makes it hard to figure out where to begin. Usually, the hard part is just picking something and getting started.

Maybe you are already trading online and having some success. That is great and is a definitely a worthwhile place to spend your time. One of the great things about online trading is that it will grow over time as you gain experience and as your portfolio grows.

One method that I use has proven to be very successful and requires maybe a half hour of time each week. This method has historically generated consistent profits on each weekly trade.

In order to pick stocks, usually individual investors analyze the prospects of a particular company. Since I trade small cap stocks or penny stocks, what I do is look at the technical indicators and try to spot a stock that is just breaking out. When I find one, I jump in. I then monitor the stock movements to confirm the breakout and hold the stock as long as I am comfortable with it. This is pretty common and there are many other technical indicators that predict an upward movement is price that you can use to select stocks.

There is another way to spot stocks that are gaining. I learned that out of every 10 small cap stocks that increase 100% or more, at least 7 of these driven by a stock promotion. This is a when a company hires an industry expert to promote the benefits of owning that company's stock.

Not many people use this important piece of information to make their investment choices. But I have found one of these stock promoters with over a decade of running stock promotions for penny stocks. And his track record is impressive, averaging over 120% over a period of years, with at least two 500% gainers each year.

Getting on his subscription list is all you need to do. He issues one pick each week. You set your strike price to buy the stock when it reaches the level he recommends. Then you pre-set your limit order to sell, so that when the stock hits the price he recommends selling, your sell is automatically processed.

I use these picks in addition to the ones I select myself and find they are a nice addition to my trading activity. I do use a stop-loss as a precaution to manage my downside, which is something I recommend doing with every trade.

5 Ways to Lose Money Day Trading

Defense wins championships. A good defense gives your team a chance to win; it keeps you in the game. To put this in trading terms, your game plan should keep your losses manageable while waiting for an opportunity to build a position. When you trade with this mindset you will always be in the game and ONE trade could turn around your entire day or your week.

Too often we see trader after trader trying to earn their entire month by gambling big on every single trade instead of seeing the big picture and earning your pay by the month.

There are literally stores and bookshelves filled with trading books and videos about how to earn money in the stock market. If I was forced to put a number on it I would say that 98%of them focus on telling you what to do to be successful as a trader.

We are going to discuss some of the things you can AVOID to give yourself the best chance of netting money on a regular monthly basis.

1. Using maximum leverage all the time: Most retail traders who make the venture into full time trading have a very common belief; "if I had more buying power I would make more money." So when they actually make the jump to a professional firm they can't wait to "load up" a position. All they can see is the dollar signs of what they will earn as the trade moves in their favor. It is just not possible for every trade you take to be one where you should increase your leverage. Placing maximum share size on your initial entry requires you to be amazingly accurate with every entry. Think about that, maximum share size all the time forces you to be perfect. Is that possible?

2. Not using enough leverage: There are however certain times of the day, week and month when you will have the market condition to increase your position size. Keep in mind this will occur on average around 30% of the day, week, and month. Think about that; 70% of the month will NOT be optimal conditions for max share size!! How often does the market, sector, your stock, market internals and volume all line up for this perfect storm?

3. Trading the entry signal instead of the trend: One of the most exciting things to do when trading is obviously getting into a trade, that's what gets your blood pumping. Unfortunately because the entry is so exciting that is where most new traders put most of their focus during the trading day; on the entry signals. This is equivalent to going to the beach and watching the small splashes of water around your ankles and thinking those splashes move the ocean. It is the other way around and that should be your focus. The big picture first and THEN the smaller time frames to enter or exit. Don't even look at the smaller entry time frames until it looks good on the higher time frames.

4. Guessing when a trend will end: When you remove the ego based desire to pick tops and bottoms you will immediately become a better trader. This will add to your net profitability than any other advice you will receive. One of the first mentors I had said it the best; "it is what it is until it's not." In other words assume the order flow the buying or selling pressure is intact until you see a heavy volume pause or exhaustive volume.

5. Trying to scalp AND position trade: Pete Rose was not a home run hitter and Barry Bonds was not paid to hit singles. They both knew very clearly before they went to the batters box what they were trying to accomplish. This is a very important concept to understand before you begin trading for the day it will affect how you manage a position and how you get shares for a trade. If you are a "singles hitter" as a trader you will be trading full size on both entry and exit. If you are a trader who holds positions you will be building a position as the stock moves in your favor and scaling out as well. It is very difficult to scalp and to be a position trader; you will constantly be mixing business plans. This is a quick road to the poor house. Pick a style that fits your personality and trade it like you own it. This will make it much easier to replicate your success.

Spend some time during lunch or after the close and see how many of these five you can remove from your daily trading.

Good luck this week,


Pete

Forex Autopilot Robot Review - Will it Do All the Trading For You?

I am sure that if you are a Forex trader you have already heard of Forex Autopilot robot.

If not, this is the software by Marcus Leary that is said to be the greatest breakthrough in

Forex business.

I first heard of this robot from my friend Jack who is a professional trader as well. He told me that I had to check it out because it was supposed to be really good.

I tested different kinds of Forex software in the past and I am always open to try new ideas and tools.

So, I went to Forex Autopilot website to read the sales letter and I was amazed with what I was reading.

Marcus Leary was promising a lot and I started wondering if it was really possible to create the robot like that one.

Trading Forex on autopilot?

I couldn't believe that.

It was just because of Jack who recommended it to me that I decided to purchase it. I trusted my friend and it was only $99 with 8 week money back guarantee so there was nothing to worry about.

I downloaded the robot to my PC 2 minutes after the purchase. I had to download a new meta trader as well because the old one wasn't compatible with Forex Autopilot.

I read the manual and FAQ and I installed robot on my PC.

I didn't want to lose any money so, I opened demo account something I hadn't done for years and I decided to start testing the software.

One thing I want you to be aware of is that Marcus Leary's robot is really complicated to use.

One will need advanced skills at Forex and computing because the manual provided was pretty poor.

My first two trades were bad ones and I lost 200 pips.

There are several digital advisers on the software main screen and I was not sure which one I should have used.

So I decided to check them all out the following day.

Finally after two days I started making profit and I moved to my real account.

Everything has been great since then and I will recommend Forex Autopilot robot to anyone who wants to make money on Forex.

It is not a scam.

Thursday, June 12, 2008

How to Avoid Getting Killed

Anyone who trades the stock or futures markets, needs a set of money management rules to live by or the market will quickly take all of your money and sanity. Too many times I see people picking decent ideas only to lose over and over due to poor use of money management and other trading strategies to minimize risk.

Here are 3 basic rules that can help anyone who is active in the markets:

1. Before entering any trade, make sure you have an exit plan: This seems simple but a lot of people don't or they only have half a plan. By half a plan I mean they have an expected target OR a stop level. You need both. Where would you get out if you are wrong, and where would you get out if you are right? In addition, if you are partly right (goes 1 point up and you thought it should go 3), where does your stop move to, and at what level do you risk nothing - meaning your stop is moved to break even.

2. Assess current market conditions for both long and short: Watch what the market is doing overall - is it super choppy (lots of erratic up down moves), or is it trending higher or lower. This definitely has a big deal to do with stock selection and risk. If the market is trending higher steadily, shorting most anything carries additional risk as investors and traders are in a buying mood. Most of the time the smart thing is to cut expectations if shorting into an uptrend, or buying into a downtrend. While occasionally you might catch the exact turn, the most likely scenario is you are right for a small amount, then the trend continues. This is also the spot where people tend to either ignore stops or give something a wide berth when its not warranted because of "gut feel" or using logic like "its way overvalued/undervalued here based on today's action."

3. Scale your size so that all gains and losses are somewhat equal. This is very important. Based on the volatility of a stock and risk, you should play more shares if less risky, and less shares if more risky. Usually with more risk comes more movement. What you don't want to happen is you play 500 shares of a stock that can at most move 1 point per day and also play 500 shares of a stock that can move 7 points in a day. If the trade does not work out, the one that can move 7 points kills your account, and its hard to make up. You should scale size assuming every trade will lose. I cannot stress this part enough. Ignore the potential gain, scale the size so the losses, if wrong, will be close to equal. The gains will take care of themselves. This way you have a decent shot on the next trade to make back the loss on the prior trade if it does not work out. Its kind of hard to make back a 5 point loss if most of the stocks you are trading can only move 50c at a time. Actually its impossible really, as you would have to be 100% right on 10 trades in a row which is a rare feat.

A Cycle Trading Method That Works - Part I

First things first - this is not some revolutionary new method. Its in fact a very simple trading methodology based on a few time honored principles and indicators. The core of this method owes its origin to the work of Walter Bressert and is based on Walter Bressert's cycle indicators.

Principle 1

The trend is your friend - you've heard it a million times before and guess what - its true. This method only trades in the direction of the trend. Furthermore it only trades when the trend of both the short and medium term time frames are in the same direction (more on this later). Why? Because we want to pinpoint entries which move quickly in the direction of profitability. Entries in the direction of the trend can be precise. Counter trend trades are often sloppy and very difficult to time.

Principle 2

Time is as important as price - what does this mean? The large proportion of traders absorb themselves in following price action, looking for a set up which matches what they see. While this may work for traders that have learnt phenomenal levels of focus, detachment and self discipline, for the developing trader this way of trading often leads to hallucinations (seeing things that aren't there), overtrading and getting caught in the chop. When we follow the principle that time is as important as price, we shift the emphasis of our focus. We place our focus on timing a trade setup, watching for the entry to set up using our timing indicators (cycles) and only when we see that the time is right do we look for price confirmation and a precise entry point.

The effect of this is

1) We stay fresh because we can relax our focus when our timing indicators show that the time is not right.

2) We can avoid getting caught in the chop and all the frustration (and loss!) that doing so entails

3) We focus all our energy and concentration on effectively executing the signals that have the highest probability for success.

Principle 3

Use multiple time frames. In this method we trade on multiple time frames simultaneously. We use a short term chart (3 or 5 minute) and we use a medium term chart (13 or 20 minute). We only enter trades when those two charts are confirming each other (ie. That their trend and cycle direction are the same). We also use a longer term chart (60 or 102 minutes) to keep an eye on the bigger picture and we use a very short term (1minute) to effect our entries.

If the short term trend or cycle is up and the medium term trend or cycle is down, what is going to happen? They will fight each other and this manifests as chop. What happens in chop? It's very hard to time a precise entry, which is what we are all about.

What happens when the short and medium term trends/cycles are in the same direction? They support each other, they strengthen each other and this leads to decisive price movement.

The key here is to understand this: price moves up and down all day. We are going to let a lot of it pass us by - we don't care. Why? Because what we are interested is pinpointing precise entries that will immediately move in our direction and give us a profit. You may see price moving strongly in one direction while you are on the sidelines, and you may say "damn, why aren't I getting a piece of that?". The question is could you have timed the entry or would you have placed 2 or 3 losing trades trying to get in, exhausting and frustrating yourself in the process?? We are looking for easeful, stress free entries that have a high probability of success.

Make sure you don't miss the next installment of this article in part II

Finding Good Trading Ideas Through Research and Tools

The web is littered with thousands of programs, newsletters, and websites purporting to have something to give a stock trader an edge in finding stock trading picks that work better than what they can find on their own. Some of it is free, but the majority of it requires some form of payment. Either way does not matter, what actually matters is if the tools have any merit at all in finding good day trading picks. Sometimes this is easy to figure out, but most likely it will be rather difficult and takes a bit of research.

What you want to avoid are any tools or software that is highly user dependent. What I mean by this is if you put the tool in the hands of the developer or expert, they can tell the nuances of when it should be used and when it should be ignored, given a certain set of circumstances. This type of tool is very hard to learn because as a new user, you have no idea about these nuances. Most of the time, it is this little fact that makes a tool work, or more likely, NOT WORK. Examples of this abound all over the net. Most any software with trading tools and indicators falls into this category. This is exactly how you can have a tool that seems to have "proof" but when you try to use it, it does not live up to expectations. This does not mean the tool is no good, but its highly dependent on the skills of the user of the tool for any sort of real success.

On the other hand, you have a set of websites and newsletters that do all the work for you. No guesswork involved, nor user skill involved much. Simple and straightforward. This type of tool is great IF it can be determined ahead of time that the site or tool ACTUALLY works as its advertised to. While the stock market is a constantly changing beast, a tool or method of picking day trading picks should be somewhat consistent no matter what is going on. Sure there will be times where its really in sync with the market, and times where its off. But there should be no times where it performs so poorly as to completely nullify any gains made during the good times. These types of tools fall into 3 categories: stock picking websites and newsletters, where a skilled person is sharing their personal picks, market scanners such as market screen, trade ideas and others, and fully automated day trading systems of one sort or another which use a computer exclusively to broadcast trade ideas.

With this said, it requires a decent amount of research prior to using any outside tool to assist in finding trading ideas. After all, you are in the market with real money, and can lose real money quickly if you don't know what you are doing or are relying on something that just does not hold up over time. Prior to engaging any tool, it is always best to do as much research as you can, including looking for review sites, and forums where current users are chatting about the tool.

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

Trading Psychology - Doubt

I want to talk about a common theme that's in many of the email questions I get through my website.

Many people have bought a trading system, or a couple of books, or attended a seminar, and just not achieved the success they thought they'd get. These people are now trapped in a constant cycle of doubt.

They're frustrated. They're not sure where to start, or how to get back on track towards success. In fact, many of them are not even sure if they want to be a trader.

Their self-talk is incredibly negative, and full of doubt.

Is that perhaps you as well?

Well, let me set things straight, and provide a small insight that may help you break through that doubt.

Trading is hard. Trading is very hard. It is probably the most difficult venture many of you will undertake in your lifetime. Do not believe the hype that is put forward by so many of the marketers whose only goal is to sell you yet another curve-fitted trading system. When they show you how easy it is - run away.

Trading is hard.

If you don't believe me, go and buy another of their systems and try to trade it profitably. Cruise the forums for a couple more years and try to find success. Then come back to this article.

Trading is hard. You have many lessons to learn, and it takes a lot longer than most of us expect. It's not enough to just develop a positive expectancy system (and believe me when I say that is hard). You need to also learn the lessons of risk management, money management, and overcoming the many challenges of a negative trading psychology.

It's natural that at times we will start to doubt ourselves and our ability to trade. We doubt our ability to meet this challenge.

It is at this time that I remind myself of a powerful message that I first heard from a business strategist Jay Abraham, absolutely brilliant man, you may have heard of him if you're involved at all in business.

Do not ask yourself, "Am I worthy of this challenge?"

That is the wrong question.

Instead, ask yourself, "Is trading a challenge worthy of me?"

Your life is so precious, and your time is too short to be wasted on small meaningless challenges.

Your life should not be wasted on hour-long commutes to and from a job you despise. Your time should not be wasted in activities and challenges that don't excite you at the very depths of your soul.

There are so many opportunities in this life. Find the greatest challenge, the one that is calling you, that excites you. The challenge that you don't consider work, and that you'd happily spend 24 hours a day working on if you could.

Find the challenge that is worthy of your precious life. Find the challenge that is worthy of your time on this earth.

If it's not trading, that's fine. Forget about your doubt and move on. This is not your challenge anyway.

If it is trading, welcome to the team. Let's push on. The best antidote for doubt is action. Continue forward with system development, or working towards effective risk management, money management, or mastery of your trading psychology. You don't have to master it all today. You just have to do something a little better today than you did it yesterday. Small advances! Baby steps! Just take action and keep moving forward.

Remember, as Ralph Waldo Emerson said, "A hero is no braver than an ordinary man, but he is braver five minutes longer.

Hang in there.

And as Theodore Roosevelt said, "It is not the critic who counts: not the man who points out how the strong man stumbles or where the doer of deeds could have done better. The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood, who strives valiantly, who errs and comes up short again and again, because there is no effort without error or shortcoming, but who knows the great enthusiasms, the great devotions, who spends himself for a worthy cause; who, at the best, knows, in the end, the triumph of high achievement, and who, at the worst, if he fails, at least he fails while daring greatly, so that his place shall never be with those cold and timid souls who knew neither victory nor defeat."

Hang in there. If you want this bad enough, you can do it. Never quit. Keep taking action.

Happy trading

The Hidden Secret of Technical Analysis

Did you know that there is a whole 'other world' of technical analysis that most novice traders are either totally ignorant of, or fear to go due to the fact that it might actually require some work?

Well, there is! And I'd suggest that if most novices fear to go there, then perhaps it might be worth some investigation.

What is technical analysis? For most novice traders it seems to be one of, or a combination of, the two following approaches:

a. The art of defining recent price action through classical charting techniques such as the Dow Theory definitions of an uptrend and downtrend, and recognition of patterns such as channels, triangles, head and shoulders, cup and handles, and on and on, or

b. The art of representing price action through the numerous indicators available on your charting platform, such as moving averages, stochastics, MACD, and on and on.

This is great. It's a good start. But the fact is that no matter how we define the structure of the market, whether based on Dow Theory, or Elliot Wave Theory, or through an indicator based approach, it is important to remember that this structure defines PAST market movement. It's a simplification that allows us to quickly identify what happened in the past.

Profits come from future price action though, not past price action. So having defined past price movement, these traders then use general rules associated with that past price action to justify an entry into the market.

For example:

* "The break below the neckline in a head and shoulders pattern is a great entry short, with a target equal to the distance from the neckline to the peak of the head." - so having identified a breakout down, they enter short.

* "A moving average crossover is an indication of a change of trend" - so identifying the EMA 10 crossing above the EMA 20, the novice trader enters long.

Once again, this is great - hopefully at least better than random entry. These general rules for entry are fine if you're satisfied they provide a slight edge, and you have a complete understanding of the probabilistic nature of price movement, and an appreciation for the necessity of position sizing and risk management. You may well make some profits.

However I'd suggest that there's a whole other world of technical analysis that you're not seeing. That still won't guarantee success (the elusive Holy Grail doesn't exist, so stop looking), but it will provide further opportunity to increase your edge. Use of this hidden world of technical analysis will allow you opportunities to enter lower risk and higher probability trades. Lower risk trades through getting earlier entries closer to support and resistance areas, so you can safely place tighter stops. Higher probability entries, through analysis based more closely on the truth behind price movement rather than a general rule for pattern or indicator based entry.

So where do we find this 'other world' of technical analysis?

Look behind your indicators, or behind the classic charting patterns, and what do you find?

Price action!

It doesn't matter how we define past price action - an uptrend, a downtrend, a range-bound sideways trend, a head and shoulders pattern, an ascending triangle, wave 4 of a five wave pattern. It's just a label that describes an approximation of past market movement.

The label is not important. What is important is the nature of price movement behind the pattern or indicator overlay.

Too many people will say that, because the price is above the 50 period moving average, or because the 10 EMA is above the 20 EMA, or because they have identified a structure of higher highs and higher lows, the market is in an uptrend. They apply a label - uptrend. And that's it, end of story. No correspondence will be entered into. The market is in an uptrend, and they're looking for trades in the long direction.

Looking beyond the "uptrend" to see how price is really moving can allow us to see the internal strength or weakness of the trend. It can provide you with an insight into the fear, doubt or greed of the market participants that create the price action, which then creates the price trend or pattern, or moves the indicators.

I'm not saying you necessarily have to get rid of your indicators - just recognize them for what they are - a useful approximation of the market.

And recognize that if you want to improve your edge, you may need to look behind the pattern, look behind the indicators, look beyond the label, and see what price is really doing.

* Is the volatility of price movement changing, and what does that mean?

* Is the momentum increasing or decreasing? What does that mean?

* Is the momentum of this price move greater or less than the preceding swing, and what does that mean?

* Is the momentum of this price move greater or less than the previous swing in the same direction, and what does that mean?

* Let's go even deeper, and consider the thought processes and psychology of the people who are long (or short) in this trade, and currently sitting on a profit. Where are they looking to exit? Where are they going to take profits? Where are they going to place their stops? What does this mean for future price action?

8 Let's consider the psychology of the traders who are currently fighting this move, sitting in drawdown, sweating on every tick and praying to the market Gods - "If you can just this once turn price around so I can get out at breakeven, I promise I'll never again take such a stupid trade". Where are these people trying to get out? At what point will the fear become so great that they'll just have to get out?

* Let's consider the psychology of the people sitting on the sidelines, having missed the start of the move. Some of these will be professional traders - where will they be identifying a low risk and/or high probability entry into this trend? Some of these will be novices - where is the absolute worst place to enter, having chased the market and entered simply out of fear of missing out on the move? Yes, some people do enter right at the very worst tick possible. Where potentially is that, and what does that mean for future market movement?

The answer to all these questions will make a great subject for future articles. For now I'd just like you to start looking beyond the indicators and patterns, and discover a whole other world of technical analysis - price action.

Examine the current internal nature of price movement - the speed, the momentum and the volatility. And consider how this is likely to influence the decision making of the novice traders who will be entering and exiting the market based on their own fear or greed.

And try to discover how you can use this information within your current strategy to lower the risk of entry, improve the probability of your entry being in the right place, and improve the management and exit of your position.

If you are interested in improving your current edge in the market, analysis of price action may be just what you're missing. Check it out now.

Happy trading

The Ugly Facts of Life About Being a Petroleum Trader

Anyone who's gotten involved in the inevitable daisy chains that are part of the online international commodity "trading" business has learned a new meaning of the term "dead end."

The fact is (and this is learned from real oil traders who know from experience) that most of these "deals" are just fake, plain and simple.

Thanks to the Internet, these days some phony-baloney oil brokers even have their own websites and call themselves petroleum suppliers or petroleum companies even though they may not have completed a single real oil trade transaction in their lives. Why do they keep doing it?

I honestly don't know. The sad thing is these traders' persistence could be put to good use if they ever took the time to actually learn about the business. And don't think it's only the unschooled who fall victim to these daisy chains. Many lawyers, MBAs and educated men and women who should know better are frequently sucked in too.

When real petroleum companies deal with real refiners in foreign countries, the standard procedure is that the seller makes a firm offer to the buyer - subject to whatever he needs done - and the buyer then takes a look at the offer and says either we've got a deal or we don't.

Simple. It's just like any other trade transaction in that regard. Too many buzzwords and too many qualifiers usually mean you should stay clear. And contacts who are actively seeking banking information before any discussion of product are usually non-players.

What about discounts? Real traders know there's no discount on orders whether it's a big deal or a small deal but the "play traders" believe that if the deal is bigger, there should be a bigger discount. This is another example of not knowing the industry.

Instead of looking for suppliers of huge amounts of oil in its various forms, the real buyers know that no single supplier can come up with one million barrels a month (an amount frequently tossed around) because the refining capability just isn't there.

What about someone fronting for a rich Saudi sheik?

Fat chance, say the real traders. In the case of Saudi Arabia, there are only two legitimate organizations that sell oil on behalf of the country or an oil consortium. Someone who says he's selling on behalf of a Saudi sheik is just, well, full of sheik!

And if they start talking about millions of barrels per month it's almost certainly not real unless they're talking about crude oil.

Remember, a broker's entire job is to help a petroleum company's trading department find or sell oil and related products so that he will receive a commission when the deal comes together. Will you get paid? That's always an issue for export intermediaries but it can be especially tricky in the oil business.

The fact is that most oil companies -- and especially the big ones -- have traders in their marketing departments who operate honestly and fulfill obligations to brokers. But there are some independent and smaller companies who treat brokers shabbily and their reputations are widely known - another reason to get smart on the oil business before you dive in.

Surprisingly, you will probably find that many of the bigger oil trading companies will not only accept your services but may also provide advice and assistance.

So what's the bottom line?

Like I said before, it ain't easy. And you've got to know what you're doing. The fact is, petroleum marketing is a dog-eat-dog business and if you're a broker, you'd better have the resilience and perseverance to work through the baloney and outright deceit which seems to attach itself to petroleum trading.

Frankly, unless you have contacts in or familiarity with the petroleum industry, I recommend you stay with small- and mid-sized product manufacturers who are not exporting their products. It may not be as exotic as trading in petroleum, but it works - and you can make some real money. If you insist on trading in the volatile petroleum industry, try to find someone who will mentor you on the ins and outs. This is probably the best way to make sure you don't get "burned" by oil.

Tuesday, June 10, 2008

Day Trading Game

Day Trading - Make it A Game


Day Trading is by far the hardest form of trading. This is due to the speed at which a trader must make decisions. In day trading, there are a number of factors, which will prevent a trader from entering the zone. Below is a list of villains that keep cash out of your pockets.

Overtrading


Overtrading can mean many things to many people. To some 3 trades is too much, to others 10. Greed will always flow through your veins, but you must remember that with each new trade comes risk. Limit the amount of trades you make per day and instead focus on the quality of the setups.

Sabotaging the Trade


Day Trading consists of mainly choppy moves with the occasional big winner. Traders will often be worn down from the constant ups and downs that psychologically a trader is unable to capitalize on the big winner.

Money Management


The last dagger in the back of a day trader is money management. How much do I use per play? The answer to this question is based on the amount of volatility in the stock. If a stock has wide spreads and large percentage points between candles, it's probably not a good idea to go all in.

How to Tame the Beast


The best way to tame the beast is to turn day trading into a game. Not a complicated game like football, or basketball. Pick a mundane and boring game. The best one that comes to mind is bowling. Notice how a bowler will approach the lane, set their feet, and make the same motion with every toss. A bowler doesn't go on a rough streak and then change their stance mid-game. So, if you are day trading, make it a game that you can keep score of. Trade the same setups each day. Use the same entry and exit strategies. This repetitive process will bring about true discipline, and consistent profits.

Dealing With Market Uncertainty

The nature of the markets is uncertainty. Human beings do not like uncertainty. In fact we fear it at the very depths of our soul. Much of our society has evolved in an effort to reduce the uncertainty we face in day to day life, through controlling the environment, and implementing a structure of laws, rules and regulations. This has been largely successful. Although uncertainty in life cannot be totally removed, we have managed to create a structure in which people can live with relative safety and generally a higher standard of living compared with previous generations.

The markets though are different. Unlike society, where we can influence the actions of other people, and where we have some level of influence over the environment, the typical retail trader will have no influence over the action of the market. None, at all!

When you enter a trade, no matter how skilled you are at analysis, there is no certainty in outcome.

So how do we, as technical analysts, attempt to work within the uncertainty of price action?

Generally the first step, because we're human, is to create structure where there is none. My preferred approach is through a framework of support and resistance lines, but there's certainly no shortage of other approaches - whether through an indicator based approach, trendlines and classic charting patterns, wave patterns, or cycles of lunar and planetary movement. Whatever approach people choose, they're overlaying price with an approximation of market movement that provides structure.

The purpose of this structure is to provide a framework within which the trader can identify low risk and/or high probability trades.

That's where a problem occurs for most novice traders. Not used to accepting uncertainty, these traders mistake the structure they've applied to the market, and the entry trigger they've chosen to get into trades, for the truth. They say they understand the probabilistic nature of the markets, but their actions do not show that. Rather, the novice trader trades as if their approximation of the market is actually the reality of the market. They act surprised when the trade goes against them, and wish and hope and pray for the trade to turn out profitable, rather than acting quickly to minimize risk. The novice trader consistently demonstrates poor risk control, poor money management and poor trade management.

Knowledge of technical analysis, whether indicator based or via classic charting patterns, is not the same as knowing the future direction of price.

The structure you apply to the markets does not, and was never meant to, provide certainty. Rather it simply provides a framework within which you can understand past market movement, and hopefully identify low risk and/or high probability trades.

Note that I did not say zero risk, or guaranteed 100% profitable trades. No matter how certain you are, you're dealing with probabilities, and some trades will lose. Even a 99.9% profitable system will lose 1 out of a thousand times, and if you're betting everything on each trade it's only a matter of time till you're account is wiped out.

Successful traders have not found some magic system that provides certainty in the markets. Rather, they've learned to live with the uncertainty.

How do they do this?

a. They have developed and tested a positive expectancy system.

b. They trade that positive expectancy system in a consistent manner, secure in the knowledge and understanding that the outcome of any single trade is not important. Success comes from consistent trading over a long series of trades.

c. They manage risk. No single trade is EVER allowed to place their future survival at risk.

d. And so they trade with confidence that the market cannot hurt them, and a confidence that they will take the correct actions to ensure consistent implementation of their trading plan.

So, if you're stuck in the never-ending cycle of going from course to course, or from forum strategy to forum strategy, STOP NOW. Ask yourself if you're trying to find certainty in the markets. Certainty doesn't exist - your approach is wrong. You're looking in the wrong place.

Rather than continuing to look for a better way to define market structure or enter your trades, just find one system that others are trading successfully, learn it, and learn how to manage risk, and improve your trading edge through better trade management and exits.

Do not confuse knowledge with knowing!

You may be a master analyst, but you cannot ever know future direction of the price.

Stop searching for certainty. Stop trading as if you can know the future. And just manage your risk.

Price Analysis - a Top-Down Approach

In a previous article I mentioned that my analysis involves monitoring price action, in order to gain an insight into the short term sentiment of the market. Determining who is in control at that time - the bulls or the bears. And assessing how they're likely to respond to changes in the market.

I thought today I'd prepare a quick article to give an overview of how I analyze price. Those of you who know me know that I'm a great fan of candlestick charting. However, price analysis is much more than just watching for your favorite candlestick patterns. Too many people just teach the candlestick patterns, which are fine, but in my opinion there's some essential analysis missing that an astute trade needs to consider BEFORE they look at price action and respond to every candlestick or bar chart pattern.

Let's have a look at what I mean.

Price analysis for me is essentially a top down approach, working from the macro level of Market Structure (so we analyze the big picture first), then down to the current Trend within that structure, and only then do we look at the current price pattern, whether through candlestick analysis or whatever other method works for you.

So I basically start off with a wide view of the market, and drill down to the detail in the current price bar or pattern.

I prefer to do this over two timeframes.

The market structure is defined primarily on a higher timeframe. For me, as a daytrader, that's the one hour charts. Of course, if you trade differently to me then that can be any other time period you wish. Just make it higher than the timeframe you trade on - I recommend by at least a factor of four.

Then on the shorter timeframe (what I call the trading timeframe) I refine the market structure a little further, analyze the movement and strength of the trend, and then assess the bullish or bearish sentiment based on the current price patterns.

For me, the trading timeframe's anywhere from 1 minute to 5 minute charts, depending on the market and its volatility, and how well the price is flowing.

So, what do I mean by market structure, trend analysis and price analysis?

Firstly Market Structure:

* The higher timeframe chart is opened and any areas of major support or resistance are identified and clearly marked on the chart.

* Support & Resistance for me are areas of past price congestion, swing highs or lows, or gaps. That doesn't include any 'guessing' at future support or resistance, via the use of pivots points or Fibonacci levels. I'm not a fan of these analysis techniques. Of course, if they work for you, good on you, keep using them.

* My expectation when I trade is that there is a higher probability of price stalling or reversing at these areas of major support or resistance.

* I then narrow my focus to the shorter trading timeframe and add to the market structure framework, by identifying areas of minor support or resistance. (Typically we look on the current trend first, but you may at times need to look back beyond the current trend, to previous market action, to find applicable areas of minor support or resistance)

* Once again, these come from areas of congestion, swing highs or lows, or gaps. That is, areas which are proven to stall price movement or reverse price direction. My expectation with minor support or resistance is for a higher probability of minor support holding in an uptrend, and minor resistance holding in a downtrend.

* That's it for Market Structure - simply identifying a support and resistance framework within which price moves. Simple!

Having defined our market structure, or a framework within which price will move, we now focus our attention on the current trend. This occurs, as does all further analysis, on the trading timeframe.

* I conduct analysis on the trend to identify its strength. Is the trend moving strongly, in which case we can anticipate it being more likely to break through the next support or resistance levels, or is it weakening, in which case we have a greater probability of the support or resistance levels forming a barrier to further price movement?

* We determine the strength of the trend by looking at its proximity to the support and resistance barriers within the framework, and also gain clues from changes in momentum or volatility.

* Is the current price swing, faster or slower than preceding swings within that trend? Is the current price swing speeding up, or slowing down?

* Is the volatility changing? Is the average range of the price bars increasing or decreasing?

* These sorts of questions regarding changes of volatility and momentum can give you clues into the changing strength of the trend, and the likelihood of a reversal at, or continuation through, an area of support or resistance.

* If you want to get experienced at this, it takes time. Review price charts over and over, identifying how changes of momentum and volatility precede either a continuation or reversal of that trend.

Having gained an appreciation of the strength of the trend, and its location within the support and resistance framework, ONLY THEN, finally, do I concern myself with the current price action to determine the bullish or bearish sentiment (or more particularly a potential change of sentiment) through candlestick analysis.

What does this little bit of extra work give me?

Here's an example:

Instead of entering short on a shooting star reversal pattern, just because it matches the shooting star diagram in my book on candlestick patterns, I will first conduct further price analysis regarding the trend and how it moves within the support and resistance framework. For example, the price may have just meandered slowly up to a major resistance level. The current price swing may clearly show less momentum than both the previous upswing and downswing. And the price bar range may be narrowing. This gives a reduced likelihood of the commitment required from the bulls to break through the area of increased supply. The shooting star pattern provides evidence of a clear rejection of prices at that resistance level. This provides me with a lower risk or higher probability trade in the short direction.

Another example:

Instead of entering long on a harami cross reversal pattern, just because it matches the harami cross in my book on candlestick patterns, I'll conduct further analysis to see where this pattern occurs within the bigger picture of market structure. For example, the trend may show a strong and accelerating move downward, on greatly increased volume, extending price rapidly to great distances below its average, right into an area of major support. This is an area where I expect increased demand is likely to be sufficient to absorb and overcome the force of the bears who have spent all their energy on the climactic move downwards. This is an area where I expect price to find support. The harami cross shows a clear halting of the rapid move down, and allows me an opportunity to enter a low risk trade close to an area of major price support.

Seriously, the end result might be the same, but at least I've entered based on a reasonable assessment of the price action in order to maximize the potential for a lower risk or higher probability trade. Over a lifetime of trading I expect this approach will produce more favorable results than just entering because the pattern matched one I'd memorized from a book.

Ok, a bit of a summary, and I know this is a bit of repetition for those familiar with my work, but don't just blindly take your entry triggers. Think about where they occur within the bigger picture structure of the market.

The market structure defines where you trade. The trigger, whether a candlestick pattern or some other form of entry trigger, tells you when to get in, ONLY when you've first met the requirements of the market structure rule.

Think about where the current price movement is within a framework of support and resistance. Think about the changing strength of the current trend, or price swing, as it approaches this area of support or resistance. Watch for signs of strength or weakness in the trend, through the clues evident in changes of momentum and volatility.

And don't forget - ALWAYS USE STOPS, because there are no guarantees. This is a game of probabilities.

Happy trading

Monday, June 9, 2008

Market Trading Stress? What Market Trading Stress?

An anonymous quote is perfect for those of us in the trading world. It goes, "Stress is when you wake up screaming, and you realize you haven't fallen asleep yet!" There's no doubt that stock traders have an extremely stressful job. Adverse events, market fluctuations, and political changes can all influence our trades, and, in turn, our own stress levels. Whether you are a seasoned or novice trader, stress can affect your clarity of thinking and your decision-making. It's critical that you do all that you can to reduce stress and increase calm while you are trading. But how?

First - Eat right. Skipping breakfast is a surefire way to start your day out on the wrong foot. Cereal, yogurt, protein bars...these are all easy ways to give your body some fuel to start the day.

Next - Avoid too much caffeine and nicotine. Both are stimulants that can cause undue stress to your body and your mind.

Third - Deep breathing exercises are easy stress relievers that bring numerous benefits for the body, including oxygenating the blood, which 'wakes up' the brain, relaxing muscles and quieting the mind.

And - Exercise! Many people exercise to control weight and get in better physical condition to become more healthy or physically attractive, but exercise and stress management are also closely linked. Exercise provides a distraction from stressful situations, as well as an outlet for frustrations, and gives you a lift via endorphins as well.

Last but not least - Don't exceed your own personal trading skills. If you are new to trading, do not put extra pressure on yourself by trying to achieve trading goals that you cannot possibly achieve. For example, follow your plan by keeping position sizes small and have clearly defined risk limits. If you push yourself beyond your skill level, you will probably unnecessarily deplete your account balance more rapidly and end up experiencing even more stress.

In the mean time, Good Luck on your journey to success...

Emini Trading - Margin in Emini Futures

If you are familiar with the margin for stock trading, you know that this is the amount the broker allows you to borrow using your funds as a collateral. Usually, this is 100%, meaning if you hold $10,000 in your account, you can control $20,000 of stock. In some situations, that only pros or semi-pros are allowed to take advantage of, your margin can be greater.

While the margin for trading in stocks is simply your borrowing power for stocks, the margin on futures can be defined as a minimum cash requirement for your futures position. Similar to a performance bond or a good faith deposit, the margin on futures is set by the exchanges based on the corresponding market volatility and can be changed at anytime if this volatility changes. Generally, the margin rates range between 2-15 percent of the value of the futures contract, with most contracts having their margin set around the 5 percent.

Individual brokers can reduce the value of this margin for intraday positions, that is for positions open and close on the same day. Because of this, the margin varies, even widely, from one broker to another, being never higher than the value established by the exchanges that takes into account all kinds of positions, including those held overnight, for which the margin is bound to be higher to compensate for the higher volatility during the times when the trading is not very active.

There are two types of margins in futures: the initial margin and the maintenance margin. The former is the required amount of funds that must be deposited by you before your positions are initiated. The latter is the minimum amount of cash/buying power required in order to keep your position open.

While the initial margin requirements must be met at the time of the trade, the maintenance margin will only become a factor if the account value is decreasing. In the event that the account value falls below the maintenance margin requirement, you will receive a margin call for funds. In this case, you will need to add enough cash to satisfy the initial margin requirement of the position.

In order to illustrate the difference between the initial and the maintenance margin, let us consider the following example.

Suppose you had $5,000 in your futures trading account. You wish to open an intraday position in the E-mini S&P. In order to place this trade, you would need at least $2,250.00 in the account (if you were a customer with the Interactive Brokers, to keep this example realistic), which is the initial margin of one E-mini S&P futures contract set by this broker. Because your account balance exceeds the amount of the initial margin, you would be able to open your position and you would be able to purchase not just one, but even two futures contracts. Suppose though that you purchased only one, to keep this example simple.

Suppose now that after this purchase, the market moved against you causing the account value to fall to $1,700, however unlikely this may be. Since the account value is now less than the maintenance margin of $1,800, you would receive a margin call for $100, the difference between the initial margin and the account value.

Day Trading Online - Learn the Basic Strategy

The stock market offers you several kinds of stock options every day. Some of them are associated with long-term investment options where investors can earn substantial profits. However, investors can also earn profits in a short time period through day trading - a trading option where trading is done on the same day. Through this process, you can generate good amount of money in a very short time. Many day traders are successfully making profits from the market.

Though day trading is quite beneficial, it is also quite risky as the market is an ever-changing entity. Therefore, it is necessary to first understand the basics of trading. For investors, such trading involves active participation in the stock market in an attempt to make profits by buying and selling stocks in a very short period of time.

Since the stock market is quite volatile by nature, there is no any particular day trading strategy that would work in the same direction every time. First understand how the market works and also try to learn the changing moods of the market. Recognize the stocks, learn how to protect profits and get rid of losses. Once you understand the basics and you are ready to day trade, keep few important things in your mind:

To become a successful day trader, you need a lot of time and patience to understand the everyday volatility of the stock market. In this kind of trading, practical knowledge is a must - no matter how many books you have read, you can only become a successful trader with experience and knowledge.

If you are a new investor and want to earn profits through such kind of trading, you need to do a lot of work - first of all, educate yourself and keep yourself updated with the latest market news. You can clear all kinds of doubts from online financial experts. These online expert professionals can help you in the best possible way. Discuss your doubts with them and then find the best solution.

Learn to read stock quotes and charts and then analyze the market before you actually enter into the market. You should also target all major and growing company shares for maximum profit. Once you learn the basic and fundamental things about the market, you can become a successful trader. Those who are successful traders and continuously reaping the benefits from their investment know the basic marketing strategy. However, those who fail to reap the benefits from their investment are those who either do not possess knowledge or directly jump into the market without doing primary work including marketing analysis.

Invest your money in the right direction and build a strong financial backup for future. Never compromise with your desires - your present investment will definitely bring future financial security in the best possible way. Stock trading is the best option for those who want to earn profits in a short time period.

Sunday, June 8, 2008

Online Day Trading Software - Why Should You Get One?

Nowadays, trading is no longer solely reserved for the banks and other financial firms. Even individuals like you can become a trader by profession. You can trade in currencies, stocks, futures, or options. Given at hand the limited time frame in which this kind of trading may be pushed through, it preferably makes a lot of sense for you to analyze the ups and downs of the market along with the profiles of the companies that you intend to transact with. In these rather modernized times, the exchanges and related transactions are being operated via the Internet. Among the common tools include the Internet, computer unit, telephone, and of course the charting and online day trading software.

Before you thrust yourself into such a business venture, you have to weigh things and value the necessary considerations. You have to do the same before you decide to purchase a charting package and an online day trading software. Online day trading is held to be more convenient because you can watch the progress of the market wherever you may be. In such effort, all you have to do is to create a list of your standards or criteria so that you can better choose the best company that you can very well work things out with. It matters that you first come up with the said list of concerns and checklist before shopping around for the potential companies to trade with because the end-result of such will be for you to be drowned out by several useless features. With an online day trading software, you can improve your actual choices.

Below are some of the top reasons as to why you must opt for online day trading software.

Real time data. Your choices will be clouded with a lot of features and options for the best software. However, if what you are after is a stable platform, then you will be better off with the online day trading software. With it, you may swing trade or day trade without any delay in the feeding of the necessary data.

Diversity of charting methods and indicators. Moving averages, MACD, figure charting all of which are available through the online day trading software.

Easy to do programming. Even without any computer engineer to do the job, you can maneuver the program by yourself.

Affordable rates. Even without having to spend thousands of dollars, you can take hold of the pertinent data which your operations require.

These are among the basic reasons as to why it will be essential to make the online day trading software your top pick.

Forex Overview

Each day, millions of trades are made in a currency exchange market called Forex. The word "Forex" directly stems off of the beginning of two words - "foreign" and "exchange". Unlike other trading systems such as the stock market, Forex does not involve the trading of any goods, physical or representative. Instead, Forex operates through buying, selling, and trading between the currencies of various economies from around the world. Because the Forex market is truly a global trading system, trades are made 24 hours a day, five days a week. In addition, Forex is not bound by any one control agency, which means that Forex is the only true free market economic trading system available today. By leaving the exchange rates out of any one group's hands, it is much more difficult to even attempt to manipulate or corner the currency market. With all of the advantages associated with the Forex system, and the global range of participation, the Forex market is the largest market in the entire world. Anywhere between 1 trillion and 1.5 trillion equivalent United States dollars are traded on the Forex market each and every day.

Forex operates mainly on the concept of "free-floating" currencies; this can be explained best as currencies that are not backed by specific materials such as gold or silver. Prior to 1971, a market such as Forex would not work because of the international "Bretton Woods" agreement. This agreement stipulated that all involved economies would strive to hold the value of their currencies close to the value of the US dollar, which in turn was held to the value of gold. In 1971, the Bretton Woods agreement was abandoned. The United States had run a huge deficit during the Vietnam Conflict, and began printing out more paper currency than they could back with gold, resulting in a relatively high level of inflation. By 1976, every major currency worldwide had left the system established under the Bretton Woods agreement, and had changed into a free-floating system of currency. This free-floating system meant that each country's currency could have vastly different values that fluctuated based on how the country's economy was faring at that time.

Because each currency fluctuates independently, it is possible to make a profit from the changes in currency value. For example, 1 Euro used to be worth about 0.86 US dollars. Shortly thereafter, 1 Euro was worth about 1.08 US dollars. Those who bought Euros at 86 cents and sold them at 1.08 US dollars were able to make 22 cents profit off of each Euro - this could equate to hundreds of millions in profits for those who were deeply rooted in the Euro. Everything in the Forex market is hanging on the exchange rate of various currencies. Sadly, very few people realize that the exchange rates they see on the news and read about in the newspapers each day could possibly be able to work towards profits on their behalf, even if they were just to make a small investment.

The Euro and the US dollar are probably the two most well-known currencies that are used in the Forex market, and therefore they are two of the most widely traded in the Forex market. In addition to the two "kings of currency", there are a few other currencies that have fairly strong reputation for Forex trading. The Australian Dollar, the Japanese Yen, the Canadian Dollar, and the New Zealand Dollar are all staple currencies used by established Forex traders. However, it is important to note that on most Forex services, you won't see the full name of a currency written out. Each currency has it's own symbol, just as companies involved in the stock market have their own symbol based off of the name of their company. Some of the important currency symbols to know are:

USD - United States Dollar


EUR - The Euro


CAD - The Canadian Dollar


AUD - The Australian Dollar


JPY - The Japanese Yen


NZD - The New Zealand Dollar

Although the symbols may be confusing at first, you'll get used to them after a while. Remember that each currency's symbol is logically formed from the name of the currency, usually in some form of acronym. With a little practice, you'll be able to determine most currency codes without even having to look them up.

Some of the richest people in the world have Forex as a large part of their investment portfolio. Warren Buffet, the world's richest man, has over $20 Billion invested in various currencies on the Forex market. His revenue portfolio usually includes well over one-hundred million dollars in profit from Forex trades each quartile. George Soros is another big name in the field of currency trading - it is believed that he made over $1 billion in profit from a single day of trading in 1992! Although those types of trades are very rare, he was still able to amass over $7 Billion from three decades of trading on the Forex market. The strategy of George Soros also goes to show that you don't have to be too risky to make profits on Forex - his conservative strategy involves withdrawing large portions of his profits from the market, even when the trend of his various investments seems to still be correlating upward.

Thankfully, you don't have to invest millions of dollars to make a profit on Forex. Many people have recorded their success with initial investments of anywhere from $10,000 to as little as $100 for an initial investment. This wide range of economic requirements makes Forex an attractive venue for trading among all classes, from those well entrenched in the lower rungs of the middle class, all the way up to the richest people alive on the planet. For those on the lower end of the spectrum, access to the Forex market is a fairly recent innovation. Within the past decades, various companies began offering a system that is friendlier to the average person, allowing the smaller initial investments and greater flexibility that is seen in the market today. Now, no matter what economic position you are in, you can get started. Although it's possible to jump right in and start investing, it's best that you make sure you have a better understanding of the ins and outs of Forex trading before you get started.

The world of Forex is one that can be both profitable and exciting, but in order to make Forex work for you it is important that you know how the system works. Like most lucrative activities, to become a Forex pro you need a lot of practice. There are many websites that offer exactly this, the simulated practice of Foreign Exchange.

The services provided by online practice sites differ from site to site, so it is always a good idea to make sure you know all of the details of the site you are about to use. For example, there are several online brokers who will offer a practice account for a period of several weeks, then terminate it and start you on a live account, which means you may end up using your own money before you are ready to. It's always a good idea to find a site that offers an unlimited practice account. Having a practice account allows you to learn the ways of the trade with no risk at all.

Continuing to use the practice account while you use a live account is also a beneficial tool for even the most seasoned Forex traders. The use of a no risk practice account enables you to try out new trading strategies and tread into unknown waters. If the strategy works, you know that you can now implement that strategy into your real account. If the strategy fails, you know to refrain from the use of that strategy without the loss of any actual money.

Of course, simply using a no risk account won't get you anywhere. In order to make money with Forex, you need to put your own money in. Obviously, it would be ridiculous to travel to other countries to purchase and sell different currencies, so there are many websites that you can use to digitally trade your money. Almost all online brokerage systems have different features to offer you so you have to do the research to find out which site you wish to create an account with.

All brokers will require specific information of you to create your account. The information they will need from you includes information required to communicate with you, including your name, mailing address, telephone number, e-mail address. They also require information needed to identify who you are, including your Social Security number, Passport number or Tax Identification number. It is required by law that they have this information, so they can prevent fraudulent trading. They may also collect various personal information when you open an account, including gender, birth date, occupation, and employment status.

Now that you have practiced trading currency and set up your live account, it is time to truly enter this profitable yet risky world. To make money with Forex, you do need to have money to begin with. It is possible to trade with very small amounts of money, but this will also lead to very small profits. As is with many other exchange systems, high payouts will only come with high risks. You can't expect to start getting millions as soon as you put money in to the market, but you can't expect to make any money at all if you don't put in at least a 3-digit value.

As most Forex brokers will warn you, you can loose money in the foreign exchange market, so don't put your life savings into any one trade. Always trade with money that you'd be able to survive without. This will ensure that if you get a bad trade and loose a lot of money, you wont end up on the streets, and you'll be able to make a comeback in the future.

So how does trading currency work? Logically, trades always come in pairs. For example, a common trade would be the United States Dollar to the Japanese Yen. This is expressed as USD/JPY. The way to quote a trade is kind of tricky, but with practice it becomes as natural as reading your native language. In a Forex quote, the first currency in the list (IE: USD in USD/JPY) is the base currency, and in the quote the base is always one. This means if (hypothetically of course) One USD was worth Two JPY, that the quote would be expressed as 1/2.

When trading in Forex, we use pips. Pip is an acronym for "percentage in point". A pip a certain decimal place in a number compared to the same decimal place in another number. Using pips, we track the gains and losses of a currencies value compared to another's. Let's take a look at an example. Say a value is written as 1.0001/1.0004. This would indicate a 3-pip spread, because of the 3 number difference in the fourth decimal place. Almost all currency pairs go to the fourth decimal place. The only currency pair that doesn't is that of the USD/JPY, and it goes to the second decimal place. For example, a USD/JPY quote with a 3-point spread would look like this: 1.01/1.04.

A very common aspect to the foreign exchange is leverage. Leverage trading, also known as trading on margin, is a way to amplify the amount of money you are making. When you use leverage trading, you borrow a certain amount of money from your broker and use that to make your transaction. This allows you to trade with more money then you are actually spending, meaning you can make higher profits than you would normally be able to make.

There are risks associated with leverage trading. If you increase the amount of money you are using, if a trade goes bad, then you'll loose more money than you'd usually loose. The risks are worth it though, because a big win on margin means a huge payout. As mentioned before, it is definitely a wise idea to try out leverage trading on your practice account before you use it excessively on your live account, so you can get a feel for the way it works.

Now that you're an expert on the way Forex trading works there are some things about foreign exchange that you should know. Forex is just like the stock market in that there are many benefits and risks, but if you are going to invest your time and personal money into this system, you should be fully aware of all of the factors that may change your decision to invest in the currency market.

Generally speaking, Forex is a difficult subject to opinionate on, because of the different factors that may alter the currency over the years. "Supply and demand" is a major issue affecting the Forex organization, because the world is in constant variable to change, one significant product being oil. Usually the currency of all the nations around the globe is described as a huge "melting pot", because of the fact that all of the interchanging controversy, political affairs, national disputes, and possibly war conflicts, all mixed together as a whole, altering the nature of Forex every second! Although problems such as supply and demand, and the whole "melting pot" issue, there are a numerous amount of pros to Forex; one being benefited profit from long term stock. Because of the positive aspects of Forex, the percentage of the use of electronic trading in the FX market (shortened from Foreign Exchange) increased by 7% from 2005 to 2008. Despite the controversial realm of Forex, it is still recognized today by many, and is still popular amongst many of the nations in the world.

Of all the organizations that recognize Forex, most of them practice fiscal policy, and monetary policy. Both policies are dependent on the nation's outlook on economics, and their standards set. The government's budget deficits, or surpluses against the country, is widely affected by the country's economic status of trade, and may critically inflict the nation's currency. Another factor for the nation's deficit spending is what the nation already has, in terms of necessities for the citizens, and the society. The more the country already has, prior to trade, the greater the budget for other demands from the people, such as technology, innovations in existing products, etc. Although a country may have an abundance in necessities, greed may hinder the nation's economic status, by changing government official's wants, to want "unnecessary" products, therefore ruining or "wasting" the country's money. This negative trend may lead to the country's doom, and hurt the Forex's reputation for positive change. There are some countries which hold more of a product (such as oil stated above), the Middle East dominating that sector in the circle of trade; Since the Middle East suffers much poverty, as a result of deficit spending, and lack of other resources, they demand for a higher price in oil, to maintain their economic status. This process is known as the "flights to quality", and is practiced by many countries, wanting to survive in the trading network that exists today. Interest rate, and leveraged financing, is due to the inflations that occur in many parts of the world from one point to another. Inflations wear down purchasing abilities, causing the currency to fall with it. In some cases, a country may observe the trends that it takes, and beforehand, take action to avoid any mishaps that had been experienced before. Sometimes, the country will buy more of a product, or sell more of a product, otherwise known as "overbought" or "oversold". This may aid in the country's future, or devastatingly hurt the country, because of lack of thought, as a result of fraud logic.

"What started out as a market for professionals is now attracting traders from all over the world and of all experience levels" is part of a letter of the chairman of Forex, and it is completely true. There is even a 30-day trial for Forex online at http://www.forex.com/forex_demo_account.html if anyone interested in Forex wants to learn more about the company. Although affected by leveraged financing, interest rate, and causing an increase or decrease in exchange rate risks, Forex can be a great way for quick profits and integrated economy for the country. In investing in stocks that are most likely to be successful for a long period of time, and researching these companies for more reference and background that you need to know, Forex can aid in these fields. In the Forex market of different levels of access, the inter-bank market composed of the largest investment bank firm, which contains "spreads", which are divided into bid, and ask prices. Large amounts of transactions, with large amounts traded, and requesting a small amount of difference is known as a better spread, which is preferred by many investors.

In comparison to the Stock Market, the Forex organization is just as stable, and safe, if the users on it are aware, and decently knowledgeable about the topic. The Stock Market Crash in 1929 was a result of lack of thinking, because of the extremely cheap shares, replacing the shares originally costing thousands of dollars. When the Stock Market crashed, and the New Deal was proposed by Franklin D. Roosevelt, leveraged finance was present, and utilized to stabilize the economy at the time. The United States was extremely wealthy and prosperous in the 20s (prior to the depression), and had not realized what could happen as a result of carelessness in spending. This is a result of deficit spending, and how it could damage a society, in less than a decade! When joining Forex, keep in mind that with the possible positive outcomes, and negative ones, there are obstacles that must be faced to become successful.

As a result of many catastrophic events, such as the Great Depression that occurred in the United States, people investing in the Forex organization keep in mind of the dangers, and rewards that may come upon them in a certain point in time. With more work and consideration outputted by a person, or organization in the Forex program will there be more signs of prosperity as a result. In relation to individuals such as Warren Buffet and George Soros, they have become successful through experience, and determination through many programs, and research, for security purposes. Reserving some of the most riches people in the world, to others that are just test driving it to discover its potential for them, Forex is a broad topic that experiences different people everyday. Forex may not help everyone that invests in it, but if enough outputted effort is amplified in attempts to better the economy, it is most definitely something that any person should experience first-hand.

How to Choose The Right Trading System?

You may have ever received an email promoting a trading system on stocks, forex, futures, etc. Talking about trading systems, there are hundreds or even thousands of them. Every single one claims to be the best. If you want to be successful in stock trading, you should have and follow a trading system, whether you build it yourself after a process of trial and error or you buy one from a third party. If you want to take a short cut, you may consider purchasing a system established by someone else.

The question is with such numerous systems to choose from, which one is right for you? A good one may not be the best for you. So here are some things to consider.

  1. Choose a system in line with your objective. Not every trading system is suitable for everyone. For example, if you do not have time to monitor the screen all day, then a trading system offering a scalping method is certainly not for you.
  2. Test drive the system beforehand. Many of the systems offer a certain period for you to test drive, such as 30-day trial period for free. Take a good advantage of this opportunity before you decide to purchase one.
  3. Explore the historical performance. Many of the systems show how they perform in the past. Check out if you could see their performance as far back as possible. Sometimes I email the contact person and they send me more detail information than just stated on their website. Especially important, learn how they perform in bad times whether they can still outperform the broader market in such condition.
  4. Learn their strategy. This means you should understand how they set up their entry point, exit point, as well as their stop loss point. Exit point is just as important as the entry point as it determines when and how much you should take profit or cut loss your position. Learn also how the system sets up the stop loss and whether it suits your trading style. Some systems aim for bigger profit but may tolerate bigger losses as well.


Once you find the trading system you believe is right for you, take some time to trade virtually before you risk your real money. This will allow you to get yourself familiar with the method as well as build your confidence. Building confidence on the system is extremely important as that is the only reason why you stick to the system during bad times.